Connect with us

mlb betting

The BEST 2022 Home Run Derby Bets

Avatar

Published

on

Before the game of baseball can truly honor it’s best of the best, the sports world stops to marvel at some of the game’s top mashers in tonight’s Home Run Derby. It’s glorified BP so ballpark dimensions are rarely a concern. There are rampant speculations about what MLB is doing – or has done – to the ball, as tonight would be the perfect opportunity to spike anything for longer distance. The history of this event has changed with the type of player involved, so the angle tonight is taking in recent history and any possible trends. Here are the best bets for tonight’s Home Run Derby!

Best Home Run Derby Bets Today: Picks 7/18

Winner Pick | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

The Phillies have seen their bats warm up in a recent stretch before the ASG and Kyle Schwarber has benefitted the most. Beyond the season he’s having with power –  on pace for another double-digit HR month – is the confidence in his swing returning from any early season struggles. He’s already been here prior in this event, which is a key factor as he finished second behind Bryce Harper back in 2018. Pete Alonso has no value as he’s won two straight years, but Schwarber has the best combination of power and consistency to knock off the champ. Most books have him below 3-1, so getting him at +325 on BetMGM is the play.

Best Derby Bet Today: Kyle Schwarber to Win (+325 BetMGM)

Round 1 H2H Pick | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

Juan Soto is a heavy favorite to knock out Jose Ramierz in the first round, but the latter isn’t dealing with any major distractions. Events like this are difficult to cap in the sense of lack of true history and the variance of hitting long balls against other power hitters – in some cases it’s come down to fatigue. With all of that out there, never underestimate the power of a narrative in a solo event like this one. There is nothing major on the line, no other teammates around, and Soto will be hounded by reporters from the jump about his trade request. Ramirez is making great contact with the ball – leading the AL in doubles and RBI – and won’t have the entire MLB world asking about his next team.

Two months of Awesemo+ Platinum FREE
when you make your first deposit and play on Monkey Knife Fight

Best Derby Bet Today: Jose Ramirez over Juan Soto R1 (+150 BetMGM)


The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds


Total Distance of Longest Home Run Pick | Claim YOUR $200 FREE at BetMGM

The ball is juiced, or maybe doctored, or simply something is being done to make it fly out of the park. Any of those explanations are highly plausible when looking at the early season jump in home runs, but none would be better applied than in the case of tonight. Even if MLB has done nothing to the baseball all season, it’s hard to think that they wouldn’t mess with them for tonight’s event. Nothing hits worse than an event built on power that sees a drop in totals. If anything, it’s safe to expect a healthy amount of blasts tonight. Guys like Ronald Acuna Jr. have already put the ball further this year than the above total, and Aaron Judge put one over 510 outside of Coors Field – which saw Soto go 520 last year.

Best Derby Bet Today: Over 491.5 Feet (-115 BetMGM)

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

Check out Stokastic's Best Bets home page for more sports betting picks and predictions.

Sign up to Receive Expert DFS Advice & Exclusive Offers From Stokastic

Subscriber Counter

We respect your email privacy

More Betting