NBA Player Props: Fade Russell Westbrook on the Glass (April 5)

With most of the teams in action tonight playing their second game in two days, not many NBA player prop markets have opened. Still, with so many games on the docket, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Russell Westbrook player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 5

Pascal Siakam Prop O/U 8.5 Rebounds

The Toronto Raptors have clinched a spot in this year’s play-in tournament. However, with a strong enough end to the season, they can pass the Atlanta Hawks for the eighth seed. That would give them an extra chance at scoring a trip to the playoffs.

Expect the Raptors to come out motivated against a Boston Celtics squad that just let P.J. Tucker beat them with three clutch 3-pointers. But not even a motivated Pascal Siakam should cash this NBA player prop tonight — NBA Bet Pro has him projected for only 7.4 rebounds, in line with his season average of 7.9.

This play has an expected win rate of 62%, better than the implied odds available at FanDuel (58.3%) For more mispriced NBA player props, try out NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Pascal Siakam Under 8.5 Rebounds (-140) at FanDuel

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Immanuel Quickley Prop O/U 36.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)

The New York Knicks won’t have Julius Randle or Jalen Brunson tonight. RJ Barrett could also sit, as he has picked up a questionable tag for tonight’s action. While their absences would lead to more volume for Quickley, the books have overcorrected here.

The Knicks have a 99.6% chance of finishing fifth in the Eastern Conference this year, so they don’t have much incentive to compete tonight. While someone will have to put up stats, Quickley is averaging only 21.7 PRA this year, so the books are being quite generous with this number

NBA Bet Pro projects Quickley for only 34.3 PRA tonight. That gives the under an expected win rate of 56%, better than the implied odds available at BetMGM (52.4%). Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Immanuel Quickley Under 36.5 PRA (-110) at BetMGM

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Russell Westbrook Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds

The Los Angeles Clippers will take on the Los Angeles Lakers tonight. The Lakers just scored a big overtime win over the Utah Jazz to lock themselves into at least the play-in tournament. However, they had to feature their starters for big minutes to do so.

Because Westbrook will face a team on short rest — and because he won’t have to compete with Paul George for rebounds — the books have set his total for this prop up at 5.5. But Westbrook is averaging only 4.8 rebounds per game with the Clippers and only 3.8 through his last five games.

Per NBA Bet Pro, Westbrook has a 58% chance of staying under this number. That’s better than the implied odds available at PointsBet (56.5%). Readers yet to register at PointsBet can score five second-chance bets worth $50 each via this link!

Best NBA Player Prop: Russell Westbrook Under 5.5 Rebounds (-130) at PointsBet

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.