NBA Player Props: Time to Short Derrick White? (March 1)

As the NBA playoffs and March Madness approach, hunting down the best bets each day can get difficult. Today’s nine-game card is no exception — with so much action, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Derrick White player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 1

Matisse Thybulle Prop O/U 1.5 Steals

The Portland Trail Blazers have trusted Matisse Thybulle with a sizeable role since bringing him in from Philadelphia. Someone in Portland, possibly Thybulle, will have to step up to get this team into the playoffs. The Trail Blazers currently rank 11th in the Western Conference.

NBA Bet Pro has Thybulle swiping 2.7 balls tonight — far more than the 1.5 the sportsbooks have him getting. That gives this play a monster win percentage of 60% and the most EV on the slate. Only one other play has comparable EV, and to find it, subscribe to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Matisse Thybulle Over 1.5 Steals (-105) at DraftKings

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Malik Beasley Prop O/U 3.5 3-Pointers

The Los Angeles Lakers won’t have Anthony Davis tonight, so somebody will have to make an impact. Beasley is averaging 3.2 3-pointers per game with the Lakers but should see even more usage tonight. Unsurprisingly, NBA Bet Pro is all over Beasley here.

The model projects Beasley for 4.7 3-pointers, which gives this play a fantastic expected win rate of 57%. That’s far better than the implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook (51%). Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the book for up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Malik Beasley Over 3.5 3-Pointers (-104) at Caesars

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Derrick White Prop O/U 11.5 Points

The Boston Celtics have their standard lineup intact for tonight’s game against the Cleveland Cavaliers. That won’t leave Derrick White with much of a role, especially as a scorer. White comes off the bench alongside Malcolm Brogdon, the team’s sixth man, and Grant Williams.

NBA Bet Pro recommends shorting White tonight. His prop total (11.5) is consistent with his season average (12), but the Celtics haven’t gotten a chance to play many games with all of their pieces available. Expect White’s average to tick down as a result. The model has White scoring only 9.5 points tonight, which gives the under an expected win rate of 58% — better than the implied odds (54.5%) you’ll find at BetMGM. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Under 11.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.