NBA Player Props PrizePicks: Trae Young Shooting Well Below Reputation

With 14 games on tap tonight, bettors have a lot to process. The best NBA player props at PrizePicks can easily fall through the cracks. But Stokastic has the projections and articles necessary for bettors to handle overwhelming slates like this one — and the winning bets like tonight’s Trae Young prop to help bettors turn a profit.

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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props at PrizePicks.

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PrizePicks NBA Player Props | Dec. 23

Trae Young Prop O/U 2.5 Made 3’s

Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool is out on Trae Young as a perimeter shooter tonight. The star guard has averaged only 2.2 made 3’s per game this year on 30.7% shooting. Stokastic’s projections have him making just 2.14 3-pointers tonight, which gives this bet an expected win rate of 64%.

Tonight’s Pistons-Hawks battle features the slate’s best bet. However, it’s not Young’s made 3’s — it’s a Dejounte Murray NBA player prop with an expected win rate of a whopping 72%. Bettors curious about which market the model is targeting should sign up for a free three-day trial of NBA Bet Pro.

Best NBA Player Prop: Trae Young Under 2.5 Made 3’s

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James Harden Prop O/U 9.5 Assists

Only two bets on today’s slate have projected win rates of 70% or greater, and James Harden’s assist prop is one of those two plays. Harden has averaged 10.3 assists this year but has stayed under this total in his last three games. Tonight’s matchup with the Clippers should be no exception.

According to Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool, Harden should rack up 8.12 assists tonight. That gives this play an expected win rate of 70%. DraftKings Sportsbook has set the odds for Harden to stay under this total at -135, giving this an implied win rate of 57.5%. Bettors should take advantage of this play at PrizePicks, with the sportsbooks stacking the juice on the under.

Best NBA Player Prop: James Harden Under 9.5 Assists

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Isaiah Stewart Prop O/U 7.0 Rebounds

The Pistons-Hawks matchup features another sharp play: Isaiah Stewart’s rebounding props. Stewart has averaged 8.2 rebounds per game this year, and he’ll face a Hawks squad that might not have starting center Clint Capela. Stewart has seen his rebounding numbers tick down now that Jalen Duren has replaced Marvin Bagley in the starting lineup, but this number looks like an overcorrection.

Stokastic’s projections have Stewart coming down with 7.92 rebounds tonight. That gives this play an expected win rate of 68%, one of the best plays on the board. However, bettors eager to add more lines onto their PrizePicks lineup can check out the PrizePicks NBA player props tool for 31 other lines with expected win rates of 60% or higher.

Best NBA Player Prop: Isaiah Stewart Over 7.0 Rebounds

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.