College football Week 7 kicks off with a three-game Tuesday slate. CFB DFS differs from traditional NFL DFS in a few key areas. Rosters do not require a defense and instead incorporate a superflex where a second quarterback can be rostered. With the exception of short slates, using a second quarterback generally makes the most sense. From there, traditional stacking rules and other general football DFS strategies apply (such as looking at college football ownership projections). With that said, let’s get into the CFB Week 7 DFS picks and projections for Tuesday, Oct. 10.
CFB Week 7 DFS Picks and Projections | Tuesday, Oct. 10
Quarterback
Kaidon Salter ($8,600): Liberty is a 7-point favorite over Jacksonville State in a game with a 56.5 total. The Flames only rank 117th in pace and have a 34.7% pass rate, but Kaidon Salter has been the engine of the offense. Salter is hyper-efficient, averaging 235.2 yards on just 22.2 attempts. He also already has 306 cumulative rushing yards this year.
Nicholas Vattiato ($7,000): Middle Tennessee State is a 3-point favorite in a game with a 53.5 total. The Blue Raiders also rank 34th in pace and throw the ball 57.1% of the time. This has led to 38.3 attempts per game for quarterback Nicholas Vattiato. While somewhat inefficient, he still averages 261.3 passing yards per game with some rushing chops.
Joey Aguilar ($7,500): Appalachian State is a 6-point favorite over Coastal Carolina, and it ranks 41st in pace and throws the ball 46.7% of the time. This quarterback situation needs to be monitored ahead of kickoff after Ryan Burger returned to practice. However, Joey Aguilar has been solid in his place, averaging 243.8 yards per game with solid mobility. Whoever starts will provide a solid price-adjusted projection.
Grayson McCall ($6,000): Coastal Carolina is a 6-point underdog to Appalachian State in a game with a 63.5 total. Grayson McCall is the slate’s premier buy-low, as he averages 260.4 yards per game on 33.6 attempts. McCall only has 29 cumulative rushing yards this year due to nine sacks, but he has previously displayed solid mobility.
Jack Turner ($5,900): Louisiana Tech still ranks 78th in pace and throws the ball 53.3% of the time, and tonight it is a 3-point underdog against Middle Tennessee State. This keeps Jack Turner in play for GPPs based on his price. Turner only averages 170.2 passing yards per game, but he has more mobility than Hank Bachmeier. Turner has also eclipsed 250 passing yards in two of his last three starts. Bachmeier has returned as the backup, so just make sure Turner starts before throwing him into lineups.
Running Back
Nate Noel ($6,500): The best price-adjusted running back on the slate, Nate Noel averages 138.2 total yards on 26.8 touches per game. Coastal Carolina allows 4.5 yards per carry to opposing backs.
Tyre Shelton ($6,900): With injuries to Keith Willis, Marquis Crosby and a number of rotational backs, Tyre Shelton has emerged as Louisiana Tech’s top running back. Shelton has touch counts of 17 and 23 over the last two games and is averaging 110 total yards per game this year. His workload makes him one of the stronger running back plays on tonight’s slate.
Frank Peasant ($5,800): While locked into a timeshare with Jaiden Credle, Frank Peasant looks likely to lead a committee in the future. Peasant only out-touched Credle 14-11 last week, but he out-snapped Credle 51-24. He also handled most of the pass game work out of the backfield, giving him the safer floor.
Malik Jackson ($7,400): Jacksonville State comes in as a touchdown underdog, but this team tops the country in pace and has a 38.4% pass rate. Though Anwar Lewis has returned from injury to a rotational role, an injury to Ron Wiggins has thrust Malik Jackson into a feature back role. He has at least 15 touches in four straight games and over 20 in three of the last four. Liberty allows 4.2 yards per carry to opposing rushers, setting up Jackson for success.
Quinton Cooley ($6,800): Quinton Cooley is another portion of the electric Liberty rushing attack, leading a committee that also features Billy Lucas. Lucas missed last week with an injury, but he projects to return. On the year, Cooley averages 14.2 touches per game, while Lucas comes in at 8.0. Both are solid price-adjusted plays in this game environment, with a slight preference to Cooley.
Wide Receiver
Sam Pinckney ($5,500): Along with McCall, the Coastal Carolina pass catchers project as strong values on this slate. Sam Pinckney averages 9.2 targets per game and 88.6 yards on a 27.5% target share. Though Jared Brown also projects well behind a 23.4 % target share, Pinckney comes in as the superior price-adjusted play.
Kaedin Robinson ($4,700): Kaedin Robinson leads Appalachian State with 63.4 yards per game on 6.2 targets and a 7.4% route share. Cheaper than Dashaun Davis and Christian Horn, he stands out as the top price-adjusted play.
Holden Willis ($6,000): Unlike previous weeks, Middle Tennessee State appears to have settled on a clear top four receivers. Elijah Metcalf, Holden Willis, Justin Olson and D.J. England-Chisolm all eclipsed 70% of the routes last week. When accounting for games played, Willis actually comes in as the top price-adjusted play. While his 5.8 targets per game narrowly trail Metcalf, his 61.8 yards per contest actually lead this team.
Smoke Harris ($7,100): Louisiana Tech funnels a 28.3% target share through Smoke Harris. This has led to 8.6 targets and 70.1 receiving yards per game. Middle Tennessee State allows 7.7 yards per pass attempt to opposing offenses, setting up Harris and Cyrus Allen as strong price-adjusted plays in this offense.
Eli Wilson ($3,200): For those looking at potential punts, Eli Wilson stands out at tight end after Miller Gibbs went down with an injury. Wilson has nine targets over the last two games with a route share north of 70%. Just make sure Gibbs isn’t warming up and Wilson can be fired up as a salary saver.
Editor Note: Looking for more 2023 college football predictions or CFB Week 7 DFS picks? Experts are to break down this college football season — make sure to check out the rest of OddsShopper’s’ college football articles. If you still need more picks, our market-based betting model might just be for you — or try it out now!
