NBA Player Projections PrizePicks: Weird Jamal Murray Line? (March 30)

It is a two-game slate on this beautiful Wednesday night in the NBA, but there are still some great NBA player projections to target on PrizePicks. We have three picks that stand out from the pack, so let’s get right into it, using Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool.

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PrizePicks NBA Player Projections | March 30

Jaylen Brown Over 6.0 Rebounds

The line is set at six, and Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool has him projected for 7.1, so there’s some value here. Brown averages 6.9 rebounds per game already, and even if we discount that for any reason, the fact that we can push on six really stands out here. This isn’t the best rebounding matchup in the world, but the line creates some value.

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Herbert Jones Over 8.5 Points

Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool has Jones projected for 9.6 points, and he averages 9.4 points per game this season. Denver tends to allow a little bit more corner 3’s, which is the spot where Jones does damage from the 3-point line at least. But where he gets the most of his shots and points is actually at the rim, and the Nuggets give up more points at the rim than basically any other team. That is the fatal flaw of Nikola Jokic; he is not necessarily amazing at defending the paint. So if Jones can get to the rim, he can find some success — and it really doesn’t take too much to get over 8.5 points.

Jamal Murray Under 7.5 Assists

Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA Player Projections Tool has Murray at 5.6 assists, and he’s averaging 6.2 assists per game. It is not clear why this line is so high. Is Jokic not going to be the pseudo point guard for the Nuggets today? He is questionable, but the assumption for right now is that he’s going to play. If he doesn’t, hate this one will be much worse of a play, but if Jokic is in, this shouldn’t even be close to 7.5.

Author

Josh Engleman

Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].