The UFC will be returning to Las Vegas for UFC Fight Night live from the Apex. The main event will feature a heavyweight bout with Sergei Pavlovich facing Curtis Blaydes. The co-main event features  Brad Tavares facing off against Bruno Silva in a middleweight bout. Below are some UFC Fight Night DFS picks, including key Sergei Pavlovich-Curtis Blaydes DFS plays, with the help of Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections.
Let’s see what is on tap and find some of the best UFC Fight Night DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
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UFC Fight Night DFS Picks: Sergei Pavlovich-Curtis Blaydes
Top-End Pick: Francis Marshall  | DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $20
Francis Marshall will be putting his unbeaten record on the line against William Gomis. He is coming into this bout on fire after an impressive knockout over Marcelo Rojo due to a flurry of punches in round two. Marshall is an explosive striker with solid power that can end  his opponents night in a hurry but look for Marshall to get this fight to the mat where he does his best work. According to The Top Fighters Tool, Marshall ranks as the fourth-highest projected fighter with 65.7% win odds and a 36.9% chance of being a top-six fighter.
Mid-Priced Pick: Curtis Blaydes | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $22
Curtis Blaydes is currently riding a three-fight winning streak, with two coming via knockout and one via decision. However, the knockout over Tom Aspinall was due to Aspinall blowing out his knee in the first-round. That said, Blaydes is still on a strong winning streak. Look for him to get Sergei Pavlovich to the mat early, controlling him with wrestling and heavy top control. Expect Blaydes to fight smart, tire out Pavlovich and secure another victory with his smothering wrestling. According to Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, Blaydes has 60.5% chance of winning with a 51.7% chance for a knockout.
Mid-Priced Pick: Jeremiah Wells | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $16
Jeremiah Wells is coming in after three impressive victories, two via knockout and one via submission. Wells is an explosive fighter, with power, athleticism, and a dangerous finisher inside the octagon. He is a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. If this fight hits the mat, Matthew Semelsberger could find himself in a world of trouble. Expect Wells to dictate the pace of this fight using dangerous striking and elite ground game to end Semelsberger’s night early. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections, give him 50.1% chance of winning with a 36.8% chance for a knockout.
Value Pick: Bruno Silva | DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $12
Bruno Silva has been extremely active since making his UFC debut in 2021, appearing inside the octagon five times. He made quick work of Wellington Turman in his debut and followed that up with two Performance of the Night bonuses with knockouts over Andrew Sanchez and Jordan Wright. However. his last two outings have not been in Silva’s favor, losing a unanimous decision to Alex Pereira and getting put to sleep by Gerald Meerschaert. Expect Silva to bounce back with an impressive finish over Brad Tavares in the smaller cage at the Apex. Stokastic’s MMA DFS projections give him 39.8%  chance if winning.
Quick Pick : Jared Gordon  | DraftKings: $6,800, FanDuel: $10
Jared Gordon will keep this fight competitive wherever it goes and could land a knockout shot to end Green’s night.
