The UFC heads to Singapore for UFC Fight Night: Max Holloway vs. Chan Sung Jung, with Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann fighting in the night’s co-main event. This card comes with some interesting angles for UFC DFS and features several fights with longer favorites. Let’s review some UFC DFS picks and value plays with the help of Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections and get into some UFC Singapore DFS picks, predictions and more!
UFC Singapore DFS Picks: Max Holloway-Chan Sung Jung
*The salaries below are from DraftKings. For top FanDuel UFC Fight Night DFS picks, check out Stokastic’s MMA fantasy point and ownership projections available at Stokastic.
UFC Singapore DFS Picks: Erin Blanchfield, $8,500
While the main event between Max Holloway and Chan Sung Jung certainly deserves consideration due to Holloway’s volume, the rest of the card offers plenty of potential leverage spots. One potential spots comes in the Erin Blanchfield-Taila Santos fight. Blanchfield enters this fight as a -150 favorite over the former title challenger. The Stokastic projections currently have this fight projected for the fourth-highest pace.
Blanchfield enters this fight with an 11-1 professional record and an 11-1 record in the UFC. Notably, her only loss came to Tracy Cortez back in February of 2019. Blanchfield possesses one of the most well rounded skill sets in this division. On top of a black belt in BJJ, she has an extensive kickboxing background. In the cage, she lands 6.06 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.22 herself behind 61% striking defense. On the mat, she averages 3.76 takedowns per bout with 77% takedown defense on the comeback. Despite her youth, she also has a solid level of competition to this point as well.
As for Santos, the 30-year old holds a 19-2 professional record. Of those victories, Santos has ten knockouts and three submissions. Aside from her loss to Shevchenko, her only other defeat came to Mara Romero Borella in the form of a split decision. Santos comes from a muay thai background, evidenced by her positive striking differential. In the cage, she lands 3.35 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 2.43 behind 59% striking defense. On the mat, she averages 2.29 takedowns per bout with 78% defense on the comeback. Like Blanchfield, she also possesses a strong strength of schedule.
Overall, our projections give Blanchfield a 57.8% chance of winning this fight with a 18.6% chance of earning a finish. Both fighters bring solid aggression on the feet and on the mat, which should score well for DFS. Overall, Blanchfield comes in as one of the top mid-priced options on the slate.
UFC Singapore DFS Picks: Billy Goff, $7,800
For those looking at cheaper fighters, Billy Goff enters his bout against Yusaku Kinoshita as a +120 underdog. Goff most recently defeated Shimon Smotritsky on the Contender Series, while Kinoshita dropped his most recent bout to Adam Fugitt. Overall, this fight comes in with the highest projected pace on the entire slate.
Starting with Goff, the 25-year old enters this bout with an 8-2 record, featuring six knockouts. A former double champion in CES, Goff comes from a pure striking background. In his lone UFC walk, Goff out-landed Smotritsky 36-15 before earning the knockout. Interestingly, he also landed two takedowns, while defending a pair of takedowns himself in that bout. At this point, Goff hasn’t faced the toughest competition, leaving plenty of questions regarding his wrestling and striking alike.
As for Kinoshita, the 23-year old owns a 6-2 professional record. His wins include four knockouts and a pair of submissions for a perfect 100% finishing rate. Kinoshita also comes from a striking background, landing 4.7 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.79 himself. The Japanese fighter employs a kicking heavy approach, which can challenge other standup fighters. However, he has a weakness on the ground, which led to his downfall against Fugitt. Kinoshita allowed four takedowns, putting his defense at an alarming 42%. Goff doesn’t typically utilize grappling, but he may hold a legitimate edge here.
In an all action fight, Goff holds advantages on the ground and on the feet. This gives him multiple paths to victory in a fight that should score well. Overall, our projections give Goff a 44.4% chance on winning this fight and a 31.1% chance of earning a finish.
UFC Singapore DFS Picks: Rinya Nakamura, $9,600
For those looking at expensive fighters, Rinya Nakamura stands out as a -800 favorite over Fernie Garcia. Nakamura currently holds a perfect 7-0 record, most recently dismantling Toshiomi Kazama in February. Conversely, Garcia comes into this fight off two straight losses. Regardless, this bout comes in with the third highest projected pace on the slate.
A former wrestling champion, Nakamura has five wins by knockout and another via submission. With three fights under his belt on the Road to the UFC, Nakamura lands 8.57 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing just 3.65 himself. On the mat, he averages 4.76 takedowns per bout, while defending them at 100% on the comeback. Despite his clean record, Nakamura has a few questions on his profile. He hasn’t fought a strong level of competition and only debuted in 2021. Nakamura has only fought to a decision one time, but his cardio appears to check out. Overall, his wrestling base gives him a strong floor in the UFC as long as he can develop his striking on the way.
As for Garcia, the 31 year old has a 10-3 professional record, featuring one knockout and three submissions. Garcia typically prefers to stand and trade during his fights and has been out-grappled twice now in the UFC. He lands 2.18 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 2.83 himself. However, much of that has been a result of ground and pound after allowing five takedowns in his last two fights. On the mat, he averages 0.47 takedowns, while defending them at 61% himself. Hopefully, he has been training his grappling, because Nakamura looks like the best wrestler he has faced to date.
Overall, Nakamura holds a massive wrestling advantage in this fight. Our projections currently give him an 86.6% chance of winning and a 67% chance of earning a finish. With so many projected to roster Holloway, Nakamura could offer much needed leverage on this slate.
