The marquee game on this, the final night of NBA action before the All-Star break, features two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Both the Philadelphia 76ers and Milwaukee Bucks will be seeking to earn one more quality win over a fellow contender before the break this evening. With the game occupying the national TV spotlight on TNT, fans have all the more reason to lock in some NBA betting picks. The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props today and betting picks for tonight’s 76ers – Bucks matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet NBA betting tips tonight and projections for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI NBA prop bets specifically for Giannis Antetokounmpo in tonight’s matchup.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Giannis Antetokounmpo
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player prop bets is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best NBA pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Antetokounmpo props below.
Under 30.5 Points (-106, FanDuel)
After dropping 50 points on Tuesday night against Indiana, it is reasonable to anticipate some bettors having pause when it comes to the idea of betting Giannis Antetokounmpo to finish under tonight’s scoring prop total. Taking that recent performance out of the equation, the under is clearly the preferred side. Antetokounmpo comes in averaging 29.4 points per game on the season. While that is certainly an impressive mark, it is also over one full point below tonight’s NBA player props line of 30.5.
It should be noted that the 76ers average the third-slowest pace of any team. They also rank among the top-10 teams in defensive efficiency allowing less than 107 points per 100 possessions. Thus, Antetokounmpo will be facing multiple obstacles in his bid to score at least 31 points to clear the NBA props total. If the Sixers successfully slow the pace of tonight’s game down, fewer possessions could prove to be the difference. Awesemo’s projection of 27.31 points comes up well short of the NBA betting line. Another noteworthy factor is that OddsShopper shows most sportsbooks listing Antetokounmpo’s scoring prop one full point lower. When bettors obtain the preferred line and odds, the ROI on this wager is 25%.
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Under 5.5 Assists (+115, BetRivers)
Awesemo’s projections also favor betting under 5.5 total assists for Giannis Antetokounmpo in tonight’s matchup. Unlike the scoring prop discussed above, this NBA player props total actually checks in below his season average. Giannis is averaging six assists per game. While a prediction of 5.52 assists tonight does not produce a massive statistical advantage, this prop is still determined to have an ROI value of 11%.
The reason for this solid expected ROI can be found in the accompanying odds on the prop. OddsShopper shows varying amounts of juice correlated to the over, which makes sense given how Antetokounmpo’s standard assist production compares to the NBA betting total. However, this has created favorable plus-money prices on the under at several sportsbooks. Note that it is not every shop, however, which makes odds shopping extremely important. The same under prediction that has an 11% ROI at +115 odds will not have anywhere near that value if bet at a -110 price.
Under 10.5 Rebounds (+102, FanDuel)
It is a clean sweep of under predictions for Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight. At any rate, we again find Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop total set below his per-game average of 11.2. In addition to a handicap that suggests reduced offensive production, Awesemo only pegs Antetokounmpo to finish with 10.34 boards tonight.
Yet again, the overall value of this NBA player props prediction is bolstered by the price itself. As the market gets bet to the over, OddsShopper shows plus-money prices appearing on the opposite side. The current optimal odds of +102 produce a 9% expected ROI. Again, the gap between this preferred price and others in the market is large. Bettors must ensure that they make this wager at the sportsbook offering the healthier return.
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