Tonight’s nationally televised NBA doubleheader on TNT tips off with a high-stakes Eastern Conference rivalry game. The Boston Celtics are one of the hottest teams in the Association of late. They will be vying to extend what is currently an eight-game winning streak tonight when they meet a Philadelphia 76ers team that was involved in a blockbuster NBA trade deadline deal. The deadline maneuvers of both franchises made it quite clear that each fancies itself a contender in the East this season. We’ve got plenty of basketball betting tips for fans looking to have some skin in the game for tonight’s head-to-head clash have a whole host of NBA player props and betting picks available to them.
The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and NBA picks today for the Celtics – 76ers matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet NBA betting tips tonight and projections for star 76ers big man and MVP candidate, Joel Embiid.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Joel Embiid
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA player prop bets is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best NBA pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Embiid props below.
Under 12.5 Rebounds (-114, FanDuel)
On the season Embiid is one of only ten total players averaging over 11 rebounds per game. However, his per-game clip of 11.2 boards is over one full rebound below tonight’s NBA player props line of 12.5. While Embiid has finished with rebound totals of 12, 19 and 14 in the last three games respectively, none of those three opponents can claim a Rebound Rate the caliber of Boston’s. The Celtics enter Tuesday night’s tilt ranked eighth in the metric. So far this season, the Celtics have secured over 51% of all available rebounds in their games. In a matchup against a loaded Boston frontcourt, Embiid figures to be hard-pressed to secure the 13 boards necessary to go over his prop total.
Another cue for bettors to note when it comes to NBA betting picks is the ebb and flow of the market itself. Currently, OddsShopper reveals that some sportsbooks have significant juice to the under on this prop bet. While Awesemo’s projection of 11.39 rebounds comes in slightly above Embiid’s per-game average, it is also well below the NBA props threshold. Taking the difficult matchup into consideration, Awesemo has given Embiid a 65% chance of finishing under 12.5 boards. When bettors make this wager at the best price available at -114, the expected ROI is a healthy 22%.
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Under 31.5 Points (-114, FanDuel)
Is the NBA betting line of 31.5 points a hefty one? Absolutely. It is also one that Embiid has proven capable of surpassing with regularity over the course of the season. As the 76ers will not integrate James Harden into their rotation until after the All-Star break, Embiid is set to remain the focal point of the team’s offense for at least a few more games. Unfortunately, tonight’s matchup comes against one of the best defenses in the NBA. The Celtics have allowed an average of only 102.7 points per 100 possessions so far this season. That ranks as the second-best defensive efficiency of any team coming into Tuesday’s action. Defense has fittingly been the key to Boston’s recent eight-game winning streak.
Taking the extremely difficult matchup into consideration, it is difficult to support betting any 76ers scoring props to the over. Considering that the NBA player props line for Embiid sits two full points above the 29.5 he has averaged this season, the under once again shapes up as the preferred side. OddsShopper again shows that the market is trending in that direction. However, the optimal price of -114 still affords bettors up to 16 cents of value compared to alternative listings. With a projection of 29.95 points, Awesemo gives this under prediction a 31% expected ROI value.
Under 1.5 Blocks (-161, Caesars)
Entering Tuesday night’s matchup, the 1.5 blocks Embiid has averaged this season are enough to match the NBA betting total. Embiid sandwiched a five-block performance last Friday in between two games with zero swats. While laying -161 odds on the under is not the best outlook in terms of betting value, Awesemo’s projections do believe that it is the right side to play. Given that both the Celtics and 76ers rank among the ten slowest teams in terms of Pace Factor this season, we can consider a lower number of possessions as something that would work against Embiid’s bid to record multiple blocks in tonight’s game.
It is also worth noting that OddsShopper shows other sportsbooks listing odds up to -170 on the under. Awesemo’s projection of 1.24 blocks translates to a 64% win probability for the under. Despite the hefty juice required, the expected ROI still lands in the positive at 4%.
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