Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Picks & Predictions Thursday 6/9

It is Thursday, June 9, aka Stephen Strasburg Day. Strasburg will make his first start in over a year when he takes the mound against the Marlins tonight. Once one of the most hyped players in the game, fans are looking forward to seeing him take the mound again. In the six games happening at 6:40 p.m. ET or later tonight, there is a mix of some fun pitching matchups like Nick Pivetta vs. Shohei Ohtani and Strasburg vs. Trevor Rogers, along with some games that should provide plenty of runs, like Orioles — Royals and Pirates — Braves. With all that’s going on, OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks and get helpful tips when it comes to making MLB predictions for today, Thursday, June 9. Below are three strikeout props, two home run props and one total base prop for the best MLB prop bets today.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Stephen Strasburg O/U 3.5 Strikeouts

Stephen Strasburg makes his first start of the season today against the Miami Marlins. The last time he pitched was June 1, 2021, and he faces a Marlins team that has the 10th-highest strikeout rate (23.4%) and is near the median in most other offensive categories. Strasburg has a 28.2% strikeout rate for his career, but in 2021 it was 22.1%. In his three minor league rehab starts, he had a 30.7% strikeout rate, allowed four hits and walked six in 13.2 innings. His last minor league start was six innings, four strikeouts, one walk and one hit allowed. Awesemo’s MLB model projects him for 5.2 strikeouts.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Stephen Strasburg OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-160)

Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM with ANY Moneyline MLB bet.

The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds

Trevor Rogers O/U 4.5 Strikeouts

On the other side of the Marlins – Nationals game is Trevor Rogers. Rogers has not had a good season, with a 4.62 xFIP, 19.2% strikeout rate and 10.3% walk rate. At his current numbers, he would have to pitch six innings to go over this prop total. Washington has the second-lowest strikeout rate in baseball (19.4%), and Rogers has gone over five innings just once in his 10 starts this year. The under is the bet here.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Trevor Rogers UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts (-110)

Shohei Ohtani O/U 0.5 Home Runs

Shohei Ohtani is on the mound, but he is also the only pitcher who bats nowadays. When he steps into the batter’s box, he will face Nick Pivetta. While Pivetta has his lowest xFIP since 2018 (4.00), he is still allowing a hard-hit rate of 43.8% — the highest of his career. He has just allowed 0.88 HR/9, but one has to figure that over time it will regress to his career mark of 1.49 HR/9. The weather in Anaheim should be favorable. Ohtani as a batter has a .322 on-base percentage and .201 ISO this season. Against right-handed pitching, his wOBA is .359 with a .226 ISO. Awesemo’s MLB model gives him a 24% chance of hitting a home run, while the +400 odds imply a 20% chance, making this a +EV bet.

If you find these bets to be too risky, BetMGM is giving away FREE money! All you have to do is BET $10 TO WIN $200 by betting Red Sox vs. Angels today.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Shohei Ohtani OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+400)

Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM with ANY Moneyline MLB bet.

Ben Rasa’s Best MLB Betting Picks & Predictions Today.

Jose Ramirez O/U 1.5 Total Bases
Jose Ramirez O/U 0.5 Home Runs

Jose Ramirez is red hot this season; his .420 wOBA and .326 ISO are video game numbers. Against right-handed pitching, the numbers are even more favorable with a .454 wOBA and .360 ISO. James Kaprielian makes this an even juicier matchup. Kaprielian has a 5.36 xFIP, 1.93 HR/9 and a 36.5% hard-hit rate. Awesemo’s MLB model gives Ramirez a 24% chance of hitting a home run while the +350 odds imply a 22.2% chance of hitting a home run, making this a favorable bet. The weather is nice in Cleveland, it should be 70 degrees with the wind blowing to right field. Place a bet on the total base prop and sprinkle a bet on the home run prop to cash on both if he goes yard.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-105), Jose Ramirez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+350)

Kris Bubic O/U 3.5 Strikeouts

Kris Bubic is arguably the worst pitcher on this slate. He has a 5.57 xFIP, a 14.3% strikeout rate and a 15.4% walk rate. Yes, his walk rate is higher than his strikeout rate. He averages 0.71 strikeouts per inning, and he would have to go 5.2 innings to go over this prop bet on average. In his six starts this season, he has made it to exactly five innings twice. He has gone less than one inning twice. He has struck out four or more batters just once this season. While he is facing Baltimore, the team with the eighth-highest strikeout rate (23.8%), the under is still a good bet here because the chances of him being in the game long enough to collect his fourth strikeout is low.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Kris Bubic UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (-115)

Claim $200 FREE at BetMGM with ANY Moneyline MLB bet.

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!