NBA Player Props & Betting Picks Today

After two days off for travel, the 2022 NBA Finals are set to resume on Wednesday night. The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics will each be seeking to gain a key leg up in Game 3 tonight after splitting Games 1 and 2 back in the Bay Area. Needless to say, historical trends heavily favor the Game 3 winner. Of the 39 previous instances in which teams split the first two games of the NBA Finals, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to win the title a whopping 32 times! As if the stakes suggested by that trend weren’t enough, there are also plenty of NBA betting picks and player props for bettors to consider ahead of the game today.

Bettors can easily enhance their NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

Andrew Wiggins O/U 5.5 Rebounds

All throughout the NBA Playoffs, Andrew Wiggins has been sailing over his season-long rebounding average. After finishing the regular season with a mean tally of 4.5 boards per game, Wiggins has corralled at least five rebounds in all but two playoff games to date. This includes both Games 1 and 2 of the ongoing NBA Finals in which Wiggins snared five and six boards, respectively. The NBA player props market had followed an upward trajectory as far as Wiggins’ rebounding totals are concerned throughout the postseason. However, the market has dropped back down to a more conservative line of 5.5 recently.

To say that this NBA picks selection for today does not come without risk would be a lie. Dating back to the start of the Western Conference Finals, a span of seven games, Wiggins has finished with at least five rebounds in every contest. However, he has actually only surpassed the NBA prop bets line three times over that same span. Despite this, his consistency is what makes this over prediction so intriguing. Even though the Celtics are a solid rebounding team overall, Wiggins has still gotten after it on the glass in this series.

Speaking of Boston, there is a real chance that the Celtics could be without center Robert Williams III for Game 3 due to a knee injury. Even if he is deemed fit to play, how much he plays and how effective he will be are anything but certain. If Sunday serves as any indication, Williams is indeed compromised at this juncture. Add in the availability of a -105 price on the over and bettors don’t even need to worry about laying extra juice on this Wiggins rebounding prop. According to OddsShopper, that price is up to 15 cents cheaper than others in the market. Awesemo gives this prop bet a massive 38% expected ROI value to go along with an extremely confident 71% win probability.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Andrew Wiggins OVER 5.5 Rebounds

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Draymond Green O/U 5.5 Assists

Perhaps the biggest hurdle bettors have to be concerned about when it comes to NBA player props involving Draymond Green is whether or not he will be thrown out of a game. No one was playing with more emotion in Game 2 on Sunday than Green. He did a little bit of everything as he so often does. In addition to picking up an early technical and living on the edge for the entire game, Green scored 9 points, grabbed five boards and dished seven assists. That assist total was identical to the seven he averaged over the full season.

Considering that the NBA prop bets line for total Green assists in Game 3 sits at just 5.5, this is clearly a buy-low opportunity. Looking at a sample size of the last 10 games, Green’s assist prop is eerily similar to the one for Wiggins above in that he has distributed at least five helpers in nine of those games. However, when it comes to actually clearing the NBA betting picks line, he has only done so four times over that same 10-game stretch. Despite this, OddsShopper is showing the entire market is juiced quite heavily to the over on this prop ahead of Game 3.

Even though the best price one can find on this wager is -150, Awesemo still deems it to be a worthwhile play. Given all of the capable shooters and scorers that litter the Warriors lineup, Green will never have a shortage of teammates to pass to. Unless the Celtics make some major interior defensive adjustments from Game 2, it’s difficult to envision Green finishing two full assists shy of his season average. Awesemo’s projection pegs him to finish with 7.01 assists. Because of how low the prop total is, simply projecting Green to finish right on par with his per-game average results in a 70% win probability.

With that being said, if you believe that it is too risky to bet that Green will hand out at least a half dozen assists tonight, perhaps winning a little FREE MONEY from BetMGM would be more to your liking. All you have to do is bet $10 to win $200 if either the Celtics or Warriors hit just one 3-pointer tonight. Given how heavily both teams rely on their perimeter shooting, it seems pretty safe to call this offer a lock.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Draymond Green OVER 5.5 Assists

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Al Horford O/U 11.5 Points

After going off for 26 points on 9-for-12 shooting in Game 1, veteran Celtics big man Al Horford was the talk of the town. The momentum was short-lived. Horford didn’t even attempt a shot in the first half of Game 2. He ultimately finished Sunday’s game 1-for-4 from the floor and scored just 2 points. While he has been extremely consistent in certain statistical areas throughout the playoffs, scoring has not been one of them. The last eight games provide a microcosm of this notion. While Horford has hit the 20-point threshold twice and eclipsed 15 points three times, the span also includes four games in which he has scored 5 points or less.

Considering that the NBA player props total of 11.5 points sits over 1 full point above the 10.2 that Horford averaged this season, the under gets the initial nod as the preferred side. OddsShopper would seem to indicate that the betting market feels similarly. At the time of writing, the odds are juiced towards the under on Horford’s scoring prop at all major sportsbooks. Although the series shifting back to Boston should theoretically benefit the Celtics’ supporting cast, the potential absence of Robert Williams III might negate that boost as far as Horford is concerned. If he is forced to operate as the primary big man, he will most certainly draw increased attention from the Warriors defensively.

Ever since a 30-point outburst in Game 4 of Boston’s second-round series against Milwaukee, Horford has only exceeded today’s NBA prop bets line three times in 11 games played. Awesemo’s projections do not believe he will get there tonight, pegging him for only 10.62 points. While the entire market is juiced to the under, OddsShopper can still help bettors obtain a -122 price point that yields solid value relative to other listings.

Best NBA Player Prop Today: Al Horford UNDER 11.5 Points

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