Wednesday night features a solid eight-game slate in the NBA. Among the games is a high-stakes Eastern Conference showdown between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks. That being said, any and all of tonight’s games offer bettors the opportunity to win money on NBA props and betting picks. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.
With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Wednesday’s action.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!
Alec Burks Over 11.5 Points (+100, Caesars)
With the New York Knicks relegating Kemba Walker to the pine for the remainder of the season, a healthy number of additional minutes suddenly became available after the All-Star break. Alec Burks has been one of the players to see a bump in playing time as a result of the move. He has logged 34 minutes in each of the Knicks’ first two games following the break. Although he did not necessarily light up the scoreboard in either game, a 12-point effort on Friday night was enough for Burks to eclipse tonight’s NBA player props total of 11.5.
Compared to Burks’ per-game scoring average so far this season, the NBA betting line does sit over half a point higher. However, keep in mind that playing time does play a factor here. Overall, Burks has actually played less than 27 minutes per game this season. With Walker now out of the lineup, he is all but guaranteed for at least 30 a night from here on out. Given that he shoots better than 38% from beyond the arc, Burks also does not necessarily need to jack up a ton of shots in order to exceed the NBA props total.
When it comes to betting value, OddsShopper shows that bettors can obtain an advantage of up to 12 cents over other sportsbooks by grabbing a favorable +100 price. Awesemo’s projections have Burks pegged to score 12.97 points tonight and give this over prediction a 19% expected ROI value.
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Devonte’ Graham Under 11.5 Points (-120, Caesars)
No one can deny that the acquisition of C.J. McCollum at the trade deadline provided a major boost to the current New Orleans Pelicans roster. One player who has been negatively impacted by the deal, however, is Devonte’ Graham. With McCollum now handling lead point guard duties, Graham’s playing time has taken a significant hit. On the season he has averaged over 30 minutes per game. Well, Graham has played no more than 26 minutes in any of the Pelicans’ last six games since McCollum joined the team.
Coming into Wednesday’s game, Graham has posted a season average of 12.9 points per game. While this is over one point higher than today’s NBA player props line of 11.5, remember that the vast majority of games have seen him lead New Orleans in minutes at the point guard position. While Graham has been able to slip over this NBA props total with 12 points in two of the last three games, it took him shooting 50% or better to do so. Even though tonight’s opponent, the Sacramento Kings, leave plenty to be desired defensively, Graham will be facing an uphill battle as far as volume of opportunity when it comes to eclipsing his scoring prop.
Awesemo’s projections officially have Graham tabbed for 9.63 points in tonight’s game. This prediction comes in nearly two full points below the NBA betting line. Even though OddsShopper indicates that the market is juiced towards the under, this prediction still carries a 15% expected ROI at a -120 price point.
Cameron Johnson Under 5.5 Rebounds (-125, PointsBet)
With Chris Paul sidelined coming out of the All-Star break, the Phoenix Suns have had to diversify their backcourt minutes. That will be even more so the case tonight after a stunning development went down early Wednesday afternoon. Apparently, “health and safety protocols” are still a thing. Who knew? At any rate, Devin Booker is set to miss tonight’s game against the Portland Trail Blazers at a minimum. Thus, players like Cameron Johnson will be in line for a healthy amount of playing time. Even so, bettors are still advised to target the under on Johnson’s NBA player props rebounding total.
Of course, the Suns have already played three games without Paul following the All-Star break. Although Johnson has seen no fewer than 29 minutes in each game, he has yet to finish with any more than four rebounds. A per-game average of 4.1 boards suggests that he would need to exceed his usual production by nearly two full rebounds in order to clear tonight’s NBA betting line of 5.5.
In a nutshell, the above scenario is something that OddsShopper highly doubts will occur, even against a shorthanded Blazers team. A projection of 4.56 rebounds results in a massive 69% win probability for the under. In addition, OddsShopper reveals that this prop has been juiced up as high as -150 at some sportsbooks. Thus, bettors can net a full 25 cents of value and a 19% ROI by targeting the optima -125 price.
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