The first full week of NBA games post-All-Star break begins tonight. Among the seven games on deck for Monday night is a high-stakes battle for first place in the Eastern Conference between the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat. Of course, the opportunities to find value on NBA props and betting picks include not only this marquee matchup but all of the games on the schedule. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.
With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Monday night’s hoops slate.
Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today
With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!
Isaiah Jackson Over 11.5 Points (-104, FanDuel)
Needless to say, the Indiana Pacers’ frontcourt looks drastically different now than it did at the beginning of the season. So long as Myles Turner remains sidelined by injury, Isaiah Jackson will have a significant role at the center position. After missing the team’s final three games prior to the All-Star break with an injury of his own, Jackson has shot 10-13 in the two games since returning. Both contests saw him exceed Monday’s NBA player props line of 10.5 points. With all signs pointing to Jackson receiving at least 20-25 minutes again tonight, bettors have reason to consider betting over on his scoring prop.
Tonight sees the Pacers face the worst team in the NBA, the Orlando Magic. On the season, the Magic have surrendered a hefty 110.4 points per 100 possessions. This ranks 24th in terms of defensive efficiency. Specifically against the center position, Orlando has given up an average of 23.6 points per game, the sixth-most of any team. Unless you are banking on Goga Bitadze going off, one has to believe that the majority of that production will be courtesy of Jackson in tonight’s game.
OddsShopper can also help bettors find the best value on this prediction thanks to its quick price comparison. The fact that this line actually moved one point to the over whilst writing up this column suggests that sharp bettors agree with Awesemo’s projections. Even after the line move, a projection of 13.27 points still equates to a 20% expected ROI.
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Scottie Barnes Over 5.5 Rebounds (-130, DraftKings)
Things have not exactly gotten off to an ideal start for the Toronto Raptors following the All-Star break. In addition to suffering back-to-back blowout losses, two starters are dealing with injuries. While Fred VanVleet has yet to receive anything more than a day-to-day designation, O.G. Anunoby will remain sidelined tonight with a finger injury. In fact, he is set to see a specialist before the game for the injury. Anunoby’s absence along with a revolving door of mediocrity at the center position has opened the door for Rookie of the Year candidate Scottie Barnes to play an even greater role in the frontcourt.
In reality, Barnes has been a key piece for Toronto all season long. He has averaged over 35 minutes per game in his very first NBA season and has produced healthy numbers. One such impressive average are the 7.3 rebounds Barnes has snatched per game. While Barnes has not exceeded five boards in each of the Raptors’ last five games, at least two of those can be attributed to a lack of playing time. Yet despite only seeing 21 minutes in a blowout loss last Saturday, Barnes still managed to snare four boards. furthermore, his rebounding average sits nearly two full boards above tonight’s NBA player props total of 5.5. Even with OddsShopper showing the best value requiring bettors to lay a -130 price, Awesemo’s projections still give this over prediction a 65% ROI.
DeMar DeRozan Under 30.5 Points (-125, BetRivers)
DeMar DeRozan is playing at an MVP level this season, his first with the Chicago Bulls. Yet even he figures to be hard-pressed to eclipse a lofty NBA player props line of 30.5 points tonight. For as superb as DeRozan has been all season long, he still comes into Monday’s battle for first in the East averaging 28.3 points per game. Thus DeRozan would need to outperform his average by nearly 3 points to hit the over. When one considers the difficult matchup, it’s no wonder why OddsShopper sees plenty of value in betting this NBA props offering to the under.
Ever since Jimmy Butler joined the Miami Heat, the identity of the team has been rooted in playing tough defense. That has continued this season, despite the team’s top three players of Butler, Bam Adebayo and Kyle Lowry hardly all being healthy to play together at the same time. The Heat rank fifth in defensive efficiency allowing 105.4 points per 100 possessions. Furthermore, Miami has one of the five slowest Pace Factors in the NBA. A stout defense along with a slow pace both will work against DeRozan as he strives to score 31-plus points for the ninth time in the last ten games.
The fact that OddsShopper shows several sportsbooks even listing this NBA betting prop one full point lower at 29.5 only further supports playing under. Awesemo only projects DeRozan to finish with 26.94 points this evening. This translates to a 66% win probability for the under.
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