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2021 NFL Player Props: The Best Receiving Yards Bets Using Awesemo’s Expert Player Props Tool | Mecole Hardman




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With the 2021 NFL regular season just around the corner, the futures market is booming with a near-endless catalog of team and player props. Thankfully, Awesemo and Shawn Zhan have developed a tool specifically designed to tackle the NFL prop bets market: The Awesemo NFL Season Long Player Props Tool. Utilizing the tool, we will explore each major section of the current NFL player futures market to identify the best NFL prop bets and odds available per category.

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Past Regular Season Receiving Yards Leaders by Year

Although previous odds are difficult to dig up, bettors can loosely use the past receiving yards leaders as a barometer for the plausible comparisons of then and now.

  • 2020: Stefon Diggs (1,535)
  • 2019: Michael Thomas (1,725)
  • 2018: Julio Jones (1,677)
  • 2017: Antonio Brown (1,533)
  • 2016: T.Y. Hilton (1,448)
  • 2015: Julio Jones (1,871)
  • 2014: Antonio Brown (1,698)
  • 2013: Josh Gordon (1,646)
  • 2012: Calvin Johnson (1,964)
  • 2011: Calvin Johnson (1,681)

NFL Player Props: Best Receiving Odds & Bets

Mecole Hardman Over 700.5 Receiving Yards (-112, SugarHouse)

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the season with a new-look offensive line and returning cast of receivers, now without Sammy Watkins. The Awesemo Player Props Tool forecasts potential growth for third-year receiver Mecole Hardman, donning a 700.5 receiving yards futures prop at SugarHouse sportsbook. With a suggested futures prop line of 725 receiving yards by the Props Tool, Hardman looks to exceed even the increased total as the expert model projects him for 849 receiving yards in 2021. With consideration to his projected 58% odds on achieving the over, Hardman also carries an estimated 10% return on investment by the Props Tool.

Hardman played all 16 regular season games in his first two years with Kansas City, adding a difference of 21 targets and 15 receptions in 2020 compared to his rookie year. With Patrick Mahomes gaining pass protection in veteran Joe Thuney and standout rookies Creed HumphreyLucas Niang and Trey Smith, the sky’s the limit for this refreshed Chiefs offense, and we can assume Hardman will be a larger contributor. Currently, SugarHouse offers the best odds across OddsShopper on Hardman’s receiving yards prop at -112 odds.

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A.J. Green Under 525.5 Receiving Yards (-112, SugarHouse)

Arizona’s offseason saw the addition of several weapons to complement head coach Kliff Kingsbury’s “air-raid” offense. The Cardinals drafted wide receiver Rondale Moore while also signing wide receiver A.J. Green, running back James Conner, and guard Brian Winters.

Despite annual high hopes of a renaissance year for Green, the Awesemo Player Props Tool insinuates otherwise of the 12-year veteran who has endured a resume plagued by injury. With an NFL player props line of 545 receiving yards by the Tool, Green projects for 449 receiving yards by regular season’s end with 65% odds on notching the under. Given just a 20-yard difference between the featured line at SugarHouse and that of the Props Tool, the wager on the under also provides an estimated 22% return on investment.

While last year Green strung together his first complete 16-game season since 2015, managing 523 receiving yards on a 44.8% catch rate, his health remains a constant concern. Looking to the OddsShopper sportsbooks, the sole action offered on Green’s receiving yards total remains at SugarHouse with 525.5 receiving yards on -112 odds.

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Once a man of 12-team teaser parlays and an abundance of season-long fantasy leagues, Chris "TopherSquints" Giordani gradually honed his fascination for sports and plus-money wagers toward Daily Fantasy Sports. A homegrown Awesemo student from the early stages of the site's inception, he became infatuated with the contrarian DFS mindset and eventually combined his passion for writing with Daily Fantasy at the Sports Gambling Podcast's website blog. Currently, Chris Giordani resides in Orange County, California, enjoys binging on stand-up comedy, and long strolls through the DraftKings lobby.

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