Welcome to the Prop Report presented by No House Advantage! For those new to the site, NHA is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them five (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you three NBA picks I have my eye on to utilize in your highest confidence slots for Friday’s Lakers – Heat Game 4.
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The Prop Report: NBA Picks Presented By No House Advantage | Oct. 6
Rajon Rondo — UNDER 9.5 Points
The current over/under for Rondo’s points at all major sportsbooks is -110 on 9.5 points, so this prop doesn’t scream ‘bet me’ by any means. But low single-digit scoring totals are more apropos of who he is, evidenced by the 7.1 points per game he averaged in the regular season. His shooting is starting to regress from the two previous series, as he’s cooled off to 37.5% from the field in these Finals. I’m counting on that trend to continue as the pass-first point guard he is, so this is a solid under opportunity on NHA tonight.
Jae Crowder — UNDER 12.5 Points
One of the big stands I’m taking on tonight’s game is the under on Crowder’s points. With the absence of Goran Dragic, space is hard to come by for Crowder, who relies on others to open up 3-point looks for him. The shots from deep he is taking are far more contested than normal as a result. Considering a majority of his shot attempts come from the perimeter, we’re fading some sort of spike in volume to lose on this prop. But considering he hasn’t gotten above 12 points in the past four games and only once in his previous eight, I feel confident the trend will continue for Crowder without an uncharacteristically hot shooting night.
LeBron James–OVER 9.5 Rebounds
James coming off a loss in the NBA Finals seems like a LeBron I want to be all in on. While there’s an assortment of options to do that on NHA, the rebounding prop is the most advantageous. Averaging 11.4 in his past five, LeBron has seen a spike in rebounding production, which correlates with Dwight Howard‘s reduced minutes in the 15-17 range every game of this series. I see no reason the small-ball trend won’t continue in Game 4, making the over for LeBron’s rebounds to be one of my favorite NBA picks of the night.
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