When it comes to NFL betting, there are often few better wagers to gamble on than NFL odds boosts. They are bets that are exactly what they sound like: Promotions from sportsbooks that move the odds in your favor on certain bets. Most of them are the specific prop bets that you might be searching for by yourself, and oftentimes the odds are fairly enticing. Rarely can you make a lot of money on these bets because of limits, but our job is to highlight the best NFL prop bets and NFL picks to wager on every weeks. We scour the internet trying to find the best NFL odds boosts for you every day from every sportsbook. Today we hone in on Week 13 Monday Night Football with Buffalo’s Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs as the Bills travel to play the 49ers.
Neither the Pittsburgh Steelers nor Washington Football Team gave us many good odds boosts to choose from, so we will focus only on the original Monday Night Football game on the schedule. San Francisco doesn’t have very many offensive weapons that sportsbooks want to use for odds boosts, so it’s a spotlight on Buffalo’s weapons today. Allen and Diggs have both excelled this season for the Bills, and they have an interesting matchup tonight against the 49ers in Arizona. Buffalo scored 30 points in both games prior to its bye and probably should have hit that mark last week against the Chargers. Almost all of the odds boosts for this particular game are NFL prop bets focused on either Allen or Diggs, so we grouped our picks today into those involving Allen and those involving Diggs.
Ben Rasa's Bet of the Day Awesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.Week 13 Monday Night Football NFL Odds + Prop Bets
NFL Picks: Josh Allen Bets
What we’ve seen from Allen in recent weeks is his restraint in not trying to put up gaudy numbers and sticking with what he sees in front of him. He’s been very efficient the last three games, with two games of completion percentages above 75 percent. That is going to be important against this 49ers defense that ranks fourth in the NFL in passing defense. Allen hasn’t needed to be spectacular lately, but he’s still led the Bills down the field for points and that shouldn’t change this week.
PointsBet is offering +200 odds on Allen to score three or more touchdowns, and that seems reasonable to expect. The Bills present the biggest passing threat to San Francisco in a month, when Aaron Rodgers threw for four touchdowns and 300 yards against the 49ers. It’s not Diggs, though, that should worry the 49ers as much as receivers like Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis, both of whom have played key roles in the Bills offense this season as secondary targets. If the 49ers are able to limit Diggs’ big-play ability like the Chargers did last week, Allen is perfectly comfortable to let Beasley gain chunk yards from the slot or use Davis’ size as an asset.
The other reason I’m confident in that bet is that Allen is a mobile threat who can also tuck it and run if given the chance. Allen has six of the Bills’ 10 rushing touchdowns this season, and he’s thrown for at least one score in nine of Buffalo’s 11 games. It’s why I also am going to bet on Allen to have both a passing and rushing touchdown, which DraftKings is offering at +240 odds. Allen is becoming as much of a goal-line rushing threat as Zack Moss, and the way Brian Daboll moves the pocket for Allen will give him lanes to rush for a score if there’s nothing open inside the 10-yard line.
NFL Picks: Stefon Diggs Bets
Diggs’ performance is a major reason why Allen has taken a giant leap forward this season, as he’s transformed the Bills offense as a true No. 1 receiver. It’s surprising to see he’s only caught four touchdowns this year given his success as he leads the team in yards (945) and receptions (80). Diggs is arguably having the best receiving season for the Bills since Andre Reed was playing with Jim Kelly in the Super Bowl years. Diggs has been very steady in his production for the Bills, though the Chargers did limit him to just 5.6 yards per catch last week, a season-low.
He’s caught at least six passes in 10 of Buffalo’s 11 games, and he has seven games with at least 50 yards receiving this season. BetMGM is offering +150 odds on Diggs to have 80 or more receiving yards tonight, and that’s a pretty decent bet for Diggs. He’s only had one stretch of consecutive games below 50 yards, and that was in the Bills’ offensive lull in late October. Diggs is still getting around 10 targets per game and averaging almost 8.6 yards per target. The 49ers have been susceptible against true No. 1 receivers too, as Davante Adams and D.K. Metcalf both put up more than 150 yards receiving against this 49ers secondary.
The touchdown numbers are curious for Diggs, as he’s been such a focal point for the Bills’ offense, but that’s also a product of Daboll’s creativity in the red zone. FanDuel set +370 odds on Diggs to score a touchdown and the Bills win, both very reasonable given how well Buffalo has performed this season. I’m not bold enough to take up DraftKings on its +1200 odds that Diggs will score the first touchdown of the game, but I expect Diggs will find the end zone in Week 13. After seeing what the Chargers did to Diggs last week, Daboll and the Bills coaching staff will devise ways to get Diggs open, and the receiver is talented enough to turn those plays into points.
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