When it comes to NFL betting, there are often few better wagers to gamble on than NFL odds boosts. They are bets that are exactly what they sound like: Promotions from sportsbooks that move the odds in your favor on certain bets. Most of them are the specific prop bets that you might be searching for by yourself, and oftentimes the odds are fairly enticing. Rarely can you make a lot of money on these bets because of limits, but our job is to highlight the best NFL prop bets and NFL picks to wager on every weeks. We scour the internet trying to find the best NFL odds boosts for you every day from every sportsbook. Today, it’s a Week 14 AFC North battle on Monday Night Football between the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns.
This is a very intriguing betting matchup for a Week 14 primetime game, with both quarterbacks and multiple skill positions as strong candidates for odds boosts. Unfortunately, there were too many odds boosts tied to a specific outcome in the game, and I avoided those because I feel this game is a true coin flip. Still, I’ll touch on both Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson and their two very different skill sets. We’ll also look at the weapons around them on offense and how the two teams will try to attack their opponent’s weaknesses. Either way, it should be a fun night of football on the shores of Lake Erie tonight.
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Week 14 Monday Night Football NFL Odds, Picks & Prop Bets
NFL Picks: Baker Mayfield Throws 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+175 BetMGM)
We saw last week what Mayfield could do if the Browns opened up the playbook, and I expect Cleveland will try a similar approach in this game. Tennessee clearly tried to slow down Cleveland’s rushing attack, which opened up the passing game for Mayfield, and he took full advantage. The Browns offense will obviously try to keep the ball on the ground with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, but I think the first half last week proved Cleveland doesn’t need to rely on those two to power the offense. There is a new confidence in Mayfield’s ability to win games with his arm that might translate into this week.
Mayfield went through a slump earlier this season after tossing five touchdowns in a win over the Bengals. He didn’t throw a single touchdown (or interception for that matter) in three straight weeks and didn’t complete more than 60 percent of his passes in any of those games. The last two weeks, however, he’s thrown six touchdowns (and zero interceptions) while becoming more confident, more accurate and a better decision maker. Despite not having Odell Beckham, Mayfield has made the Browns passing attack a threat again, and he’ll try to spread out the Ravens in the red zone in order to maximize his scoring chances.
For the especially risky, DraftKings is offering +515 odds on the Browns winning and Mayfield throwing at least three touchdowns passes in that victory. Considering last week was just the second time in 12 games that Mayfield threw for three or more touchdowns, it seems highly unlikely.
NFL Picks: Nick Chubb & Lamar Jackson Score Touchdown (+510 FanDuel)
I am a big fan of this wager because the success of both of these teams hinges on the success of these two players. As much as the focal point of the Browns offense is Mayfield, Chubb has been a major engine in the two-headed backfield that has propelled Cleveland to such a strong record. All he has done is being productive when healthy this season, with three 100-yard games and three with a touchdown in the last four weeks since returning from injury. He’ll be a critical part of the Browns’ offense, and he has the speed and agility to break one if the Ravens aren’t sound in their rushing defense. Chubb will also get his touches on the goal line and might be able to muscle his way into the end zone for the Browns.
Jackson didn’t have to run much in the opening week when Baltimore smacked down the Browns at home, but he’s become a far different quarterback now. Those 275 passing yards in that game were the most he’s had all season, and he’s only thrown for 200 yards three other times this season. His seven rushes in the first meeting were the second fewest he’s had all season, and he’s now rushed the ball at least 10 times in five straight games. As much as the Ravens will rely on their backfield, they are going to need Jackson to make a big play with his feet against this athletic Browns defense. He’s only rushed for four touchdowns, but I think Chubb will exploit the aggressive nature of Cleveland’s pass rush to add a fifth to his tally.
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NFL Picks: Jarvis Landry or J.K. Dobbins Scores 1st Touchdown (+525 DraftKings)
The Ravens are not going to throw the ball much unless they have to, so it makes sense for their first touchdown to come on the ground. As tempting as it is to guess Jackson as the first touchdown scorer, I think Baltimore is going to save Jackson around the goal line early and let its running backs do the heavy lifting. We’ve seen Dobbins become the feature back in the Ravens backfield, so he’ll get those first chances to break through against this Browns defense. Cleveland held up well last week against Tennessee, but the Ravens won’t be punched in the mouth as easily as the Titans were last week.
On the other sideline, it would make too much sense for Chubb or Hunt to get the honor of scoring the first touchdown. But I think the Browns will try to test this Ravens secondary early, and there’s no one better to bet on in that scenario than Landry. He’s become a major focal point of the offense the last two weeks, with 21 combined targets for 16 catches, 205 yards and two touchdowns. If the Browns need a big play on offense early, it will be Landry who provides it in the passing game. Given how much the Browns are letting Mayfield throw the ball now, I expect he’ll come out firing and try to establish a connection with Landry early in this game.
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