Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend we have a 12-fight card in Abu Dhabi including a main event between Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor. The main GPP has $200,000 going to first place with a total of $1,000,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fights I feel have the most upside for DFS purposes. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks and analysis for UFC 257 Poirier vs McGregor 2 on DraftKings and FanDuel.
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UFC 257 Poirier vs McGregor 2: DraftKings + FanDuel DFS Picks
Core MMA DFS Plays
Conor McGregor | DraftKings: $9,100, FanDuel $21
McGregor is a dangerous striker. His left hand has huge one-shot power that will put his opponents lights out. He has 19 wins via knockout, which shows the power he possesses in his hands. I expect this will be an exciting fight between two veterans of the sport. However, McGregor should push the pace and look for the first-round finish. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Projections give McGregor 73% win odds with a 63% chance for a knockout.
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Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
Makhmud Muradov | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $17
Muradov is currently riding a 13-fight win streak. He has nineteen wins by stoppage, 16 via knockout and three via submission. Muradov has excellent foot work and is landing 4.9 strikes per minute. Muradov’s footwork and high output should cause Andrew Sanchez trouble and keep him from getting his rhythm established. Our UFC DFS projections give Muradov 56% win odds.
Joanne Calderwood | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $15
Calderwood will be looking to get back in the win column after taking a disappointing loss to Jennifer Maia back in August 2020. She is an excellent kickboxer with high output and will be the better striker in this fight. Calderwood is also a solid grappler, with a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. I expect Calderwood’s high output and high pace will seal the victory over Jessica Eye. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Projections give Calderwood 51% win odds.
Value MMA DFS Picks
Antonio Carlos Junior | DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $11
Carlos Junior is a veteran of the sport and has not fought in over a year. That said, I expect Carlos Junior to be movtivated to get back in the win column after back-to-back losses. I also expect Carlos Junior will look to get this fight to the canvas and use his ground game and jiu-jitsu to secure a victory. Our UFC DFS projections give Carlos Junior 46% win odds.
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