UFC Vegas 61 DFS Picks & Value Plays: How to Roster Aleksei Oleinik, Chelsea Chandler & More (October 1)

After a week off, the UFC will be back live from the Apex in Las Vegas, featuring a women’s strawweight main event between Mackenzie Dern and Yan Xiaonan, with the co-main featuring Randy Brown vs. Francisco Trinaldo. Below are some MMA DFS picks and analysis with the help of Stokastic’s UFC expert projections. Let’s see what’s on tap for UFC Vegas 61 and find some of the best UFC DFS pick for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

UFC Vegas 61: Dern vs. Xiaonan DFS Picks

Top-End Pick: Randy Brown | DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $22

Brown’s last loss was against Vicente Luque in 2020, the second knockout loss of his UFC career. In his most recent fights, Brown has shown his potential with two wins via decision and one via submission. Brown has shown great improvements in his octagon awareness, striking defense, and head movement. I expect Brown will combine all these improvements against Francisco Trinaldo and find a late finish. Brown has 76% win odds according to Stokastic UFC DFS projections with a 39% chance for a knockout. Top Fighter s Tool gives him 31.9% of being in the top six on this card.

Mid-Priced Pick: Mike Davis | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $19

Davis is a well-rounded fighter and extremely explosive. His striking is sharp with big power, fast hands, fluid combinations, and impressive movement. He will mix wrestling with his striking and keep his opponent guessing. I expect this fight will be an all-out battle with two talented fighters and if Davis can secure the takedowns, it could a long night for Viacheslav Borshchev. The Top Fighters Tool gives Davis 39.9% of being in the top six on this card, while Stokastic’s UFC DFS projection give him 64% win odds.

Mid-Priced Pick: Chelsea Chandler | DraftKings: $8,000 , FanDuel: $15

This fight will benefit Chandler with it being fought at 140, who normally fights 10 pounds heavier. She will have the size advantage over Julija Stoliarenko, with a one-inch height and two-inch reach advantage. Chandler will be making her UFC debut after coming off four straight wins in the Invicta FC promotion. If Chandler can keep this fight standing, she should start her UFC career off with an impressive knockout win over Stoliarenko. She has 49% win odds according to Stokastic’s UFC DFS projections .

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Value Pick: Aleksei Oleinik | DraftKings: $7,500 , FanDuel: $14

Oleinik is a savvy veteran of the sport that is always live for the victory. His nickname “The Boa Constrictor” has fit him well over his UFC career. He gets a hold of his prey and chokes them into submission. Oleinik is an international master of sports in combat sambo and a 4^th level BJJ. He is dangerous on the mat, constantly looking for submissions. I expect this fight to play out on the canvas and Oleinik finding a late third-round finish. Stokastic’s UFC expert projection give him 36% win odds.

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