NBA Player Props: Will Draymond Green Clean the Glass? (Feb. 24)

The NBA has finally returned from the All-Star Break! Basketball fans and bettors alike will benefit from a glut of betting opportunities without pause for the rest of the season — but with loads of action to process, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Draymond Green player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Friday.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 24

Jabari Smith Jr. Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers

This year’s second-overall pick, Jabari Smith Jr., hasn’t changed the NBA in his rookie season. While he still has plenty of time to develop, fading Smith on the NBA player prop markets early in his career has often proven sharp. Smith has averaged 1.6 3-pointers per game on only 30.3% shooting. Smith and the Houston Rockets will face the Golden State Warriors tonight, and the books expect the Warriors to win in a blowout.

Smith is projected for only 1.4 3-pointers tonight, per NBA Bet Pro, which gives the under an expected win rate of 46% — far better than the implied odds of 40.8% available at DraftKings Sportsbook. To find even more NBA player props that the books have mispriced, subscribe to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jabari Smith Jr. Under 1.5 3-Pointers (+145) at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Draymond Green Prop O/U 7.5 Rebounds

Although the Warriors are projected to beat the Rockets by a fairly wide margin, bettors can still find plenty of value on the under for some of Golden State’s players. The Warriors just lost to the Los Angeles Lakers last night, so their veteran players, including Draymond Green, won’t have the freshest legs tonight.

Green is averaging only 7.4 rebounds per game this year and is yet to go over this number against the Houston Rockets. He recorded exactly six rebounds in their two prior meetings. NBA Bet Pro has Green getting only 7 rebounds tonight, which makes this play +EV at BetMGM with odds of +100. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book!

Best NBA Player Prop: Draymond Green Under 7.5 Rebounds (+100) at BetMGM

Dejounte Murray Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers

The Atlanta Hawks parted ways with their head coach, Nate McMillan, and seem eager to sign Quin Snyder, formerly of the Utah Jazz. But before the Snyder contract gets finalized, the Hawks will face the Cleveland Cavaliers, who are coming off a loss to the Denver Nuggets last night. Bettors should expect a solid performance from Dejounte Murray.

Murray is averaging 20.7 points and 2 3-pointers per game this year with the Hawks. His shooting percentage from the perimeter (36.3%) isn’t great, but it’s more than good enough for him to cash the over on this NBA player prop. Murray is projected for 1.9 3-pointers tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. With the over listed at +108 at Caesars Sportsbook, bettors should head there before the line moves. New users can get their first bet on Caesars for up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Dejounte Murray Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+108) at Caesars

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.