NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Giannis Clearing Other Studs By Miles (February 10)

Friday night’s 11-game slate is packed with value, particularly from the Spurs-Pistons game. More value could continue to open up as we learn who is available for their new teams post trade deadline, so be sure to pay attention to news and check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to hear great analysis of how the news changes the slate. And as always, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are great resources to help make DraftKings lineups that project well and offer some leverage points on the field.

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NBA DFS Picks Leverage & Optimizer Plays | Feb. 10

High-End Tier

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($12,500) has the highest projection on the slate by a wide margin tonight against the Clippers, and he’s easy to fit in lineups with all the value available. Antetokounmpo is projected for 34% ownership, a 24% chance of booming and a 23% chance of being optimal.

Jayson Tatum ($11,200) and the shorthanded Celtics have a great matchup with a Hornets team that is top 10 in pace of play and bottom 10 in defensive rating. He’s projected for 24% ownership, a 22% chance of booming and a 20% chance of being optimal.

Pascal Siakam ($9,600) has a nice leverage score in this matchup with the Jazz. He’s projected for just 2% ownership, a 6% chance of booming and a 4% chance of being optimal.


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Mid-Tier

Killian Hayes ($4,700) is among the top point-per-dollar options on the slate against the Spurs. Hayes is projected for 39% ownership, a 51% chance of booming and 28% chance of being optimal.

Jordan Clarkson ($6,600) should take on a bigger role for the Jazz after they traded away some pieces at the trade deadline. He’s projected for just 1% ownership, a 10% chance of booming and 6% chance of being optimal. Clarkson is questionable with an illness, so be sure he is active before playing him.

Al Horford ($4,700) will be a great value if he plays against the Hornets, but he is questionable. If Horford is ruled out, look to the Celtics for other solid mid-tier options, such as Robert Williams ($6,100).

Value Tier

Much of the value right now comes from the Spurs. Stanley Johnson ($3,200) and Zach Collins ($4,000) are expected to be quite chalky, while Isaiah Roby ($3,000), Blake Wesley ($3,000) and Devonte’ Graham ($3,000) should come in at reasonable ownership.

These are just some of the top plays of the slate in terms of projection, value and leverage. Things can change in a hurry on an NBA slate, though, so remember to track the news throughout the day and take advantage of potential late-swap opportunities.

Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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