Tonight’s NBA slate is a huge one to get the NBA rolling again, and PrizePicks NBA player props are presenting some solid ROI opportunities. Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool has a handful of props in the 60% win range, so let’s get in on the PrizePicks action for Thursday, Feb. 23.
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PrizePicks NBA Player Props | Feb. 23
Brandon Ingram Under 1.5 3-Pointers
Fading Ingram 3’s has been one of the safer bets the last couple of weeks. He has hit at least two 3’s only twice in nine games since returning from a 28-game absence, and on the season he is just 11-for-24 on the over. Ingram is making 3’s at career-high efficiency, but that is still only leading to 1.5 made 3’s a game. With Zion Williamson out, Ingram has taken more of a slashing role, which has led to him scoring a lot more but doing so from inside the arc. As such, Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool gives his under on 1.5 3-pointers a 65% win expectancy.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.0 Rebounds
This is a tricky spot because this is a case of PrizePicks splitting between the sportsbook lines, rather than providing a little bump in value for a side by omitting the half point. This line is 4.5 at some books and 5.5 at others, and Gilgeous-Alexander is projecting for 4.49. That makes the PrizePicks line still somewhat of a value on the over — 64% expected win rate — but not quite as much as it could have been if PrizePicks went with the 5.5.
Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 4.7 rebounds a game and has stayed under in five of the last six. Sandwiched in between those is one 10-board game, which may be what is pushing the over/under to 5.0 instead of 4.5, but three other Thunder players are projecting for more rebounds as they take on the Jazz. Oklahoma City is also fully healthy (save for long-term injuries to Chet Holmgren and Aleksej Pokusevski), so Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to cede boards to Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams and Jaylin Williams.
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Kelly Olynyk Over 3.5 Assists
That Thunder-Jazz game is a good spot for offensive overs, as it has a slate-high total projecting between 240 and 241. Oklahoma City presents a pace up for Utah, ranking third both on the season and over the last 10, and Olynyk is already averaging 3.3 assists per game. He is a bit boom/bust in that category and is slightly under 50% on this over on the season, but on top of the plus matchup, the Jazz will be without Collin Sexton. Sexton had at least five assists in all four full games he played since the trade deadline, and Utah will need someone to fill some playmaking. Stokastic’s PrizePicks NBA player props tool projects Olynyk to take some of that on, giving him 4.45 assists and a 64% of going over 3.5.