The Boston Celtics used a gritty performance in Game 6 to set up a Mother’s Day Game 7 matinee vs. the Philadelphia 76ers at the TD Garden. Boston will come in as the heavy favorite and should be relying on the one-two punch of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum to get them to the Conference Finals. With bettors keying in on the win-or-go-home game, let’s take a look at some of the best NBA player props, including one fade of role player Marcus Smart.
Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Saturday’s Game 7.
Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | May 14Â
Marcus Smart Prop O/U 14.5 Points
Although Marcus Smart has been aggressive throughout the 76ers series, there is reason to believe he will take a back seat to the Celtics’ stars with the stakes so high. Smart has scored at least 15 points, in four of the six games of this series, but it is fair to expect some regression to his regular season total in Game 7 (11.5 points per game)
Smart was feeling it in Game 6, scoring 22 points on 53.3% shooting from the field. It was an uncharacteristic shooting night for Smart, who has never shot over 42% in a full season in his nine-year NBA career. NBA Bet Pro sees value in going under 14.5 points (+100 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Bet Pro projects Smart at just 12.5 points for Game 7, giving the under a win percentage of 53%.
Let’s attack this NBA player prop with the best odds at DraftKings. Â If you’re yet to sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook, you can get $150 in bonus bets with any $5 wager on the NBA Playoffs!
Best NBA Player Prop: Marcus Smart Under 14.5 Points (+100 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Latest NBA DFS Content
- PrizePicks, Sleeper & Underdog Cheat Sheet: Best More/Less Picks Today for NBA, MLB & NHL (April 28)
- NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks: Tightrope Time for the Phoenix Suns! (April 28)
- FanDuel Fantasy Basketball Cheat Sheet: Best Picks From NBA DFS Contest Sims | Karl-Anthony Towns (April 28)
- DraftKings Fantasy Basketball Cheat Sheet: Best Picks From NBA DFS Contest Sims | Kevin Durant (April 28)
- NBA DFS Late Swap Advice: How to Use Our New Tool to Improve Your Process and Profit
- Stokastic DFS on Youtube
P.J. Tucker O/U 3.5 Rebounds
After averaging 3.9 rebounds during the regular season, Philadelphia 76ers forward P.J. Tucker has been crashing the glass during the postseason. He has 3.7 rebounds during the Celtics series but logged just 20 minutes in a two-rebound effort in Game 6
With Tucker likely to see a little bit more playing time in Game 7, look for the veteran to get more opportunities to come away with some boards, making the over 3.5 rebounds (-130 at PointsBet) a valuable wager.
The over has an expected win rate of 64%, per NBA Bet Pro. The models have Tucker projected at 5.0 rebounds, giving the bet a high ROI of 13%. Although this is the highest ROI of any 76ers-Celtics NBA player prop, several other sharp props are on today’s board, and to view them, simply sign up for NBA Bet Pro — new users can even get a one-week free trial of the product!
Best NBA Player Prop: P.J. Tucker Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130 at PointsBet)