CFB DFS differs from traditional NFL DFS in a few key areas. Rosters do not require a defense and instead incorporate a superflex where a second quarterback can be rostered. With the exception of short slates, using a second quarterback generally makes the most sense. From there, traditional stacking rules and other general football DFS strategies apply (such as looking at college football ownership projections). With that said, let’s get into the CFB Week 10 DFS picks and projections for Saturday, Nov. 4.
CFB Week 10 DFS Picks & Projections | Saturday, Nov. 4
Quarterback
Dillon Gabriel ($8,900): This game is the premier potential shootout on the main slate, with Oklahoma a touchdown favorite over Oklahoma State in a game with a 62 total. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel also provides a massive ceiling as one of the premier dual threats in the country, as he has rushed for 294 yards and also averages 287.3 passing yards per game on 31.5 attempts. With a compelling opponent on the other side, Gabriel again grades out as one of the strongest quarterback plays on the slate.
Jordan Travis ($9,000): Jordan Travis is an elite GPP option on every slate, and Florida State is a 21.5-point favorites over Pittsburgh in game with a 50.5 total. Travis averages 263.6 yards per game on 31.8 attempts while rushing for 205 yards. He generally needs a competent opponent to reach a ceiling. If Pittsburgh keeps this game even relatively close, Travis will provide GPP-winning potential.
Jaxson Dart ($7,800): Ole Miss is a field goal favorite over Texas A&M in a game with a 52 total. Jaxson Dart has 326 yards rushing this year while averaging 259.9 passing yards on just 26.8 attempts, and while Texas A&M plays decent defense, Ole Miss ranks 13th in pace. With volume on his side, Dart provides multiple paths to a ceiling on this slate.
Kyron Drones ($6,300): Virginia Tech is a 9.5-point underdog to Louisville in a game with a 48.5 total, and the Hokies rank 93rd in pace and have a 44.6% pass rate. Since taking over for Grant Wells, Kyron Drones has provided DFS viability in spots. Drones has 400 rushing yards while averaging 154 yards passing per game. Drones has at least 56 rushing yards in three straight games, providing a solid floor for DFS. While the ceiling remains questionable, he offers a serviceable play for cash options.
Alan Bowman ($6,200): On the other side of the Oklahoma matchup, Alan Bowman benefits from an offense ranked 40th in pace that has a 53.9% pass rate. While Bowman only has 27 rushing yards, he has at least 278 passing yards in three of his last five games. With Oklahoma ranking 18th in pace on the other side, this game provides shootout potential for Bowman at a cheap price.
Running Back
TreVeyon Henderson ($6,500): Ohio State is an 18.5-point favorite over Rutgers in a game with a 42.5 total. Despite the low total and tough Rutgers defense, Ohio State still brings a 30.75 implied team total. Furthermore, Ohio State lost Miyan Williams for the season. Beyond that, it has shown little faith in backups Chip Trayanum and Dallan Hayden, resulting in 29 touches for TreVeyon Henderson last week. With this kind of workload, he is severely underpriced on this slate.
Jawhar Jordan ($6,700): In his first game back from a hamstring injury, Jawhar Jordan immediately handled 21 carries last week. Jordan averages 103 rushing yards per game, with another 21.8 through the air. Virginia Tech allows 4.4 yards per carry to opposing backs, setting up Jordan for efficiency.
Phil Mafah ($5,500): Clemson is a field goal underdog to Notre Dame in a game with a 45 total. Will Shipley suffered a concussion last week, making him a longshot to play. After he went down, Phil Mafah handled 16 carries and four targets. Even in a tough matchup, Mafah’s increased touch projections makes him a strong value on this slate.
Ollie Gordon II ($7,200): Perhaps the top running back in the country, Ollie Gordon II averages 135.9 rushing and 25.1 receiving yards per game on 20.9 touches. He has been even more involved of late, with touch counts of 22, 36, 30 and 29 in the last four games. Gordon’s volume in all game scripts make him a worthwhile target despite being an underdog.
Marcus Carroll ($7,000): While Georgia State is +6 in this one, the team still only throws 43.5% of the time. It also uses a pure feature back in Marcus Carroll. Carroll averages 131.8 rushing and 18.3 receiving yards per game on 26.5 touches. He has now seen at least 28 touches in three straight games for Georgia State.
Wide Receiver
Luther Burden ($6,900): Luther Burden is one of the premier receivers in the country, averaging 112.8 yards per game on 10.4 targets. While Missouri is a 15-point underdog to Georgia in a game with a 55.5 total, Burden still comes with an elite target projection. This is a tough game environment, but he looks like a stud worth targeting.
Evan Stewart ($6,100): Texas A&M is a field goal underdog to Ole Miss in a game with 52 total. Since returning from injury, Evan Stewart has 23 combined targets over the last two games. He averages 73 yards per game on 8.7 targets, which could rise even further on the increased target share. WR2 Ainias Smith also projects as a strong value at a cheaper price point.
Drake Stoops ($5,900): For those looking to stack with Gabriel, Oklahoma has narrowed its receiver rotation to Drake Stoops, Jalil Farooq and Nic Anderson. The safest option of this group is Stoops, who averages 50.5 receiving yards per game on 6.3 targets. Oklahoma State also allows 8.0 yards per pass attempt, creating a strong game environment for all of the Oklahoma pass catchers.
Elijah Surratt ($4,800): Six-point favorite James Madison enters this slate with a 47.7% pass rate and the 92nd-ranked pace. With an efficient Jordan McCloud under center, all of the starting James Madison pass catchers come in too cheap. Specifically, Elijah Surratt looks like a solid price-adjusted play after seeing at least eight targets in three straight games. With Reggie Brown and Phoenix Sproles also offering affordable price tags, the James Madison receivers can be mixed and matched on this slate.
Rashod Owens ($4,700): Oklahoma State further consolidated its receiving after injuries to Jaden Bray, Blaine Green and Talyn Shettron last game. Rashod Owens averaged 8.8 targets per game over Oklahoma State’s last four contests, making him an elite price-adjusted receiver among CFB Week 10 DFS picks.
