It’s time to look into the NFL DFS projections data on Stokastic and find out where we should be focusing our attention on DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 10. Let’s review the top NFL DFS wide receivers and fades for Week 10.
Top NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks & Fades for Week 10
We have the Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins and Eagles off in Week 10, while the Colts, Patriots, Jets, Raiders, Broncos and Bills each aren’t involved on the DFS main slate either. That makes it a pretty interesting NFL DFS slate to tackle given the included teams.
Week 10 NFL player projections for DraftKings and FanDuel are up, so let’s run over a few standouts at the WR position for NFL DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.
NFL DFS Picks | Week 10 DraftKings & FanDuel Wide Receivers
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
Stokastic’s Week 10 boom probabilities have Ja’Marr Chase in the top position at wide receiver for the upcoming game against the Texans. He’s at a 17.3% boom probability on DraftKings, which is clear of Keenan Allen in second place by close to five percentage points. On FanDuel, Chase is also leading the way with a 17.0% boom probability, the highest in the entire player pool.
Chase is dealing with some back pain and is currently considered questionable, so obviously we’ll need to check on his updated status before kickoff. However, at the time of writing, Cincinnati’s number one WR is included in projections and is populating in 19% of optimal NFL DFS lineups on DraftKings and 21.40% of optimal NFL DFS lineups on FanDuel. Chase is right around 20% in ownership projections, with that number at 18.5% on FanDuel.
A quick look at OddsShopper’s Ja’Marr Chase Week 10 NFL odds, bets and player props and we see the star wideout’s receiving yards prop at 86.5 yards, while his anytime touchdown line is at +105. The Bengals have the week’s highest implied team total at 28 points.
DeAndre Hopkins, Tennessee Titans
As of Saturday, DeAndre Hopkins is hitting 14.5% of Week 10 FNL DFS optimal lineups at $6,000 on DraftKings and 11.2% of optimal lineups at $7,100 on FanDuel, putting him near the front of the pack. The Titans, who have officially handed over the starting quarterback role to Will Levis, are implied for 19 points for Week 10’s road game against the Buccaneers.
Hopkins exploded for 128 yards and three touchdowns a couple of weeks back but then came back down to earth a bit with four catches on 11 targets for 60 yards in Week 9’s loss to the Steelers. Overall though, Levis has clearly been favoring his veteran receiver as he gets acclimated to the pros, and it’ll be interesting to see if that’s a trend that continues over the second half of the season.
Over on partner site OddsShopper, Hopkins has a Week 10 receiving yards prop of 60.5 yards and an anytime touchdown odds of roughly +185 for Sunday versus Tampa Bay. His number of receptions line is at 4.5.
Among others, Keenan Allen is also projecting well at wide receiver for what looks like a fun game to stack against the Lions — the Chargers’ top receiver is showing in 21.9% of optimal lineups on DraftKings based on Stokastic’s NFL DFS simulations.
As usual, we advise you to dig through all of the DraftKings and FanDuel data at the different price ranges ahead of DFS lock.
NFL DFS Fades | Week 10 DraftKings & FanDuel Wide Receivers
Romeo Doubs, Green Bay Packers
Our data team’s boom and bust probabilities, which examine how likely players are to meet their respective ceilings and floors relative to their median projections, are not siding with Romeo Doubs heading into Week 10’s matchup with Pittsburgh. The Packers’ wideout has one of the lowest boom probabilities and highest bust probabilities among all WRS in the pool.
Doubs currently has a 62.9% bust probability and 0.5% boom probability at $5,300 on DraftKings and a 59.8% bust probability and 0.1% boom probability at a price of $6,300 on FanDuel. It’s been tough to trust the Packers’ passing attack under Jordan Love, so it’s not all that surprising to see the team’s receivers projecting out poorly here.
The Romeo Doubs’ odds, bets and player props page on OddsShopper has his receiving yards prop at 36.5 to 37.5 depending on the NFL betting sites you look at, and his anytime TD odds are at right around +310.
We recommend browsing around the entire WR data to see what else stands ahead of Week 10, and don’t forget to keep checking back to Stokastic for updated numbers as lock approaches on DraftKings and FanDuel.
We should also remember that accurate NFL DFS player projections are just one piece of the daily fantasy football puzzle and that other factors like ownership projections, roster construction and game theory should be considered when building lineups.
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