Best MLB Bets Today (6/3): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

Tonight there are 14 games on the evening slate that starts at 6:40 pm ET. Some exciting matchups tonight include Joe Musgrove facing off against Corbin Burnes and the second game of the series between two of the best teams in the National League in Mets – Dodgers. The slate also features a Coors Field matchup between the Braves and Rockies and should be filled with plenty of offensive firepower. It’s Friday, and the entire league is playing tonight; it doesn’t get much better than that. OddsShopper can help find all of the best MLB betting picks and get helpful tips when it comes to making MLB predictions for today, Friday, June 3. Below, one will find two strikeout props, one home run prop and two total base props for the best MLB prop bets today.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions

Bruce Zimmermann O/U 2.5 Strikeouts

Bruce Zimmerman is facing the Cleveland Guardians for the start of a new series at home. Zimmermann is having a good season relative to his previous production. Although his ERA is 4.53, his xFIP is 4.03. His 19.2% strikeout rate is just a smidge below his career 19.7% rate, but his 5.2% walk rate is down from his career 6.6% rate as well. He averages 0.79 strikeouts per inning and would have to pitch between 3.2 and 4.0 innings to get to the over. He has not had an outing shorter than four innings all season. Although Cleveland has the lowest strikeout rate in baseball (18.8%), Awesemo’s MLB model still gives Zimmermann a 78% chance of going over the total, with four strikeouts as the median projection.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Bruce Zimmermann OVER 2.5 Strikeouts (-154)


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Elvin Rodriguez O/U 3.5 Strikeouts (Claim FREE $200 on BetMGM)

Elvin Rodriguez is a rookie with two starts under his belt at the major league level and now has to face the New York Yankees today. In that small sample size, his xFIP was 4.64 and his hard-hit rate allowed was 42.4%. Rodriguez does have a 20.8% strikeout rate and averages 0.86 strikeouts per innings, but unfortunately he has a 10.4% walk rate as well. On average, he would have to pitch 4.2 innings to reach four strikeouts. Given that he is giving up a lot of hard contact and is facing the Yankees and their 19th-highest strikeout rate of 21.9%, he is more likely to go under than over this strikeout prop set today.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Elvin Rodriguez UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts (+126)

Jose Ramirez O/U 0.5 Home Runs (Claim FREE $200 on BetMGM)

Despite the fact that Zimmermann is having an improved season, he allows home runs at a 2.26 HR/9 rate. The player on Cleveland most likely to hit a home run is the man with 13 home runs on the year and a .339 ISO on the season, Jose Ramirez. Now, it has to be acknowledged that Ramirez hits right-handed pitching better, as he has a .466 wOBA and .362 ISO compared to a .332 wOBA and .273 ISO against left-handed pitching. A .273 ISO is more powerful than the average hitter, and this is still a good spot for Ramirez. Awesemo’s MLB model gives him a 23% chance of hitting a home run, while the sportsbooks are implying a 19.05% chance of hitting a home run.

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Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Jose Ramirez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+425)

Anthony Santander O/U 0.5 Total Bases

Anthony Santander faces a different Shane Bieber tonight than has been seen in the past. This season, Bieber’s strikeout rate is at a career-low 23.7% and his 3.45 xFIP is at a career high. Additionally, he is allowing 0.95 hits per inning, which is the most since his 2018 rookie season. He is still a solid pitcher, but he isn’t as unhittable as he was a couple of years ago. Although his batting average hasn’t caught up to it, Santander has had a better eye at the plate. His walk rate is nearly double his career rate and his strikeout rate is down from last year. He projects to get a hit today and even at -165 odds, a solid bet to make.

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Anthony Santander OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-165)

Anthony Rizzo O/U 1.5 Total Bases (Claim FREE $200 on BetMGM)

In Anthony Rizzo‘s 38 hits this season, 22 have gone for extra bases. Facing a rookie pitcher, he has a good chance of getting a hit tonight. Since a majority of his hits go for extra bases, why not take the incredibly good odds of +140 that he does it?

Best MLB Prop Bet Today: Anthony Rizzo OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+140)

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