Best MLB Bets Today (5/30): Baseball Prop Betting Picks

There is a lot to be thankful for this Memorial Day Monday, and Major League Baseball provides a 13-game schedule including a doubleheader. There are two rookie pitchers in their major league debut going up against one another, seven divisional matchups and a game at Coors Field from which to make the best ROI bets today. Two games have totals over nine runs, which creates plenty of potential for total bases player props. Remember to always double back to our Awesemo Player Props Tool to cross-reference home run and strike out projected data from our pros to rake the best values available.

Best MLB Bets Today: Baseball Prop Betting Picks 5/30

Dylan Bundy O/U 3.5 Strikeouts

Dylan Bundy has a 21.7% strikeout rate and .259 average against this season. Today Bundy faces the Detroit Tigers and has a line of 3.5 strikeouts with -160 odds on the over at OddsShopper. This season Bundy is averaging .921 strikeouts per inning and 4.2 innings per game. As long as Bundy’s leash remains at least at his season’s average, this would put him on par for the four necessary strikeouts to surpass the over. The Tigers represent the league’s second-lowest batting average against right-handed pitching (.208), a 24.6% strikeout rate and a league-low 71 wRC+. Bundy is expected to face five righties and four switch-hitters, and he has a 27.1% strikeout rate against right-handed hitting and an 11.3% swinging-strike rate this season. The Awesemo Player Props Tool gives a 27% expected return on investment and a 77% expected win rate for the over on Bundy’s strikeouts. Despite the agonizing -160 juice on the line, take the low-hanging fruit with the over on Bundy’s 3.5 total strikeouts.

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Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Dylan Bundy OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (-160)

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Nolan Arenado O/U 1.5 Total Bases

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Nolan Arenado has a .271 batting average, a .854 OPS and a 141 wRC+ this season. Today Arenado draws Nick Martinez on the mound and has a line of 1.5 total bases with +115 odds on the over at OddsShopper. When facing right-handed pitching this season, Arenado has a .283 batting average, .196 ISO, and .827 OPS with 12 doubles and five home runs. Martinez has a 20% strikeout rate and .289 average against right-handed hitting this season. Martinez has also surrendered 31.7% hard-contact and 15% HR/FB rate against the split this year, which sets up well for Arenado’s power. At plus-money odds following a day off for him yesterday, the over on Arenado’s total bases prop is one of the best baseball betting picks today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Nolan Arenado OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+115)

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Manny Machado O/U 0.5 Total Home Runs

Manny Machado has a .357 batting average, a .226 ISO and eight home runs this season. Today Machado faces Packy Naughton and has a line of 0.5 home runs with +310 odds on the over at OddsShopper. Naughton has a 21.2 % strikeout rate, .270 average against and 1.95 home runs per nine innings this season. Machado has a .386 batting average and 1.30 OPS against left-handed pitching this season and six home runs against the split. Though Naughton has mitigated hard contact thus far, his 20% HR/FB rate directly panders to Machado’s glaring strength. Should Naughton get pulled at any point, the Cardinals bullpen ranks ninth in home runs allowed with 1.09 HR/9. Provided the inviting matchup, grab the over on Machado’s total home runs at heightened returns.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Manny Machado OVER 0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)

Paul Blackburn O/U 3.5 Strikeouts

Paul Blackburn has a 19.5% strikeout rate and .209 average against this season. Today Blackburn draws the Houston Astros at home in Oakland, and his strikeout line is 3.5 prop at +130 odds on the over. The Astros have a 21.2% strikeout rate and .722 OPS against right-handed pitching this season, though their recent slump may bode well for Blackburn. Expected to face six righties and three left-handed hitters, Blackburn has a 17.9% strikeout rate and .179 average against right-handed hitting this season and a 20.8% strikeout rate against lefties. To his benefit, Blackburn could face Chas McCormick, Jeremy Pena and Martin Maldonado, who all have strikeout rates upwards of 25% against right-handed pitching as well. Although he has a 44% chance of success according to the Awesemo Player Props Tool, Blackburn has exceeded today’s necessary four strikeouts in five of his nine starts this season. At plus-money odds on a total that is within his grasp, the over on Blackburn’s strikeouts finds itself among the best MLB predictions today.

Best MLB Betting Pick Today: Paul Blackburn OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (+130)

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