NFL Best Bets, Betting Picks & Divisional Round Playoff Predictions

This article will look at the best NFL bets for Saturday’s Divisional playoff round. The Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans will kick off the weekend at 4:30 p.m. (ET) on CBS. The San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers will close out the evening on NBC at 8:15 p.m. (ET). The following are the four best bets.

Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the best NFL bets for Saturday’s Divisional Round Playoff matchups.

Best NFL Bets & Divisional Round Predictions (Saturday)

Bengals and Titans Under 47.5 Points

Tennessee is the better defensive team here, and the Titans want to control the clock by giving the ball to running backs Derrick Henry and D’Onta Foreman. Tennessee likes to set the tone of the game by controlling the ball from the outset. The Titans rank third in the league in first half time of possession, and they do so by running the ball and throwing short passes, at least in the early going. The Titans are also second in the NFL in run percentage (48.6%) and time of possession (32:34), as they convert 43.6% of their third-down opportunities.

Cincinnati likes to control the ball as well, particularly in the second half when they have a lead. While the Bengals will run the ball (41.6%), they like to run the play clock down before snapping. The Bengals play at the third-slowest pace in the league, while the Titans play at the 10th slowest. Moreover, seven of the Titans’ nine games at Nissan Stadium finished with fewer than 47 points. Awesemo projects that there will be 45.8 points scored with under the having an ROI of 8%.

Ryan Tannehill Under 241.5 Yards Passing

As stated above, the Titans want to control the ball, which means running and throwing short passes. If Tannehill is slinging the ball around a lot, Tennessee is in trouble. The Titans went 4-4 when he attempted 30 or more passes, and he had 10 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. He was 8-1 with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions in the other games. Tannehill was also sacked 47 times this year.

Tannehill averaged just 219.6 yards passing per game on 32 pass attempts with a 67.2% completion percentage. He averaged 7 yards per pass attempt and 10.2 yards per completion. Both stats are among the lowest of his career. Tannehill threw for 282 yards against Houston in Week 18, marking the first time he went over 240 yards in six weeks and the sixth time all year.

Cincinnati’s pass defense ranks 26th in the league, though the Bengals have held opposing quarterbacks to 225 passing yards on the road. While Derek Carr threw for 282 yards against them in the Wild Card round, he needed 52 attempts, and the Bengals sacked him three times and recorded an interception. The Bengals recorded 42 sacks during the regular season.

Tannehill is projected for 227.68 yards passing on Saturday. He was 18-for-29 for 209 yards the last time the Titans faced the Bengals. OddsShopper gives the under a 66% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 23%.

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Deebo Samuel Under 5.5 Receptions

It is expected to be very cold in Green Bay, and the 49ers have been using Samuel more as a runner the past few weeks. Samuel is the 49ers’ top playmaker and has had great success running the ball, but he is still not used to getting punished as much, so he has to take more breaks. As a result, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and rookie Jauan Jennings have seemingly surpassed him in the receiving pecking order.

In the Wild Card victory over Dallas, Samuel had three receptions for 38 yards while also rushing for 72 yards on 10 carries. He has 10 catches on 15 targets over the last three games, and the last time he saw double-digit targets was Week 16. Samuel has six games of six or more receptions and has seen at least eight targets eight times.

Samuel is projected for 4.49 receptions in a tough matchup. Green Bay ranks 10th against the pass, allowing the ninth-fewest receptions to wide receivers — nearly 12 a game. Furthermore, the Packers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete just 57.6% of their passes to wide receivers. Samuel has seven receptions in two career games against Green Bay. OddsShopper gives the under a 73% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 15%.

A.J. Brown Under 5.5 Receptions

Brown had a tough year. He missed four games with injuries and did not reach the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in his short career. Brown averaged 4.8 receptions a game, as he had a career-high eight drops and was able to hook up with Tannehill a career-low 60% of the time. Brown had just four games of six or more receptions this year. Furthermore, Tannehill is not expected to throw the ball a ton, and he has other quality options in Julio Jones, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Chester Rogers, Anthony Firkser and Geoff Swaim. Brown is projected for 5.28 receptions. OddsShopper gives the under a 75% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 20%.

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