In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Jan. 8
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom CandidatesÂ
Caris LeVert vs. Grizzlies: $7,400/$6,800
45.6% DraftKings Boom/64.4% FanDuel Boom
It is nearly impossible for me to get away from LeVert tonight. In addition to Kevin Durant and Spencer Dinwiddie not playing, Kyrie Irving remains away from the team due to personal reasons. In the same situation last night, LeVert carried the Nets’ offense. He played over 30 minutes with a 37.5% usage rate, which led to over 50 fantasy points. He is a must-play in cash games. The biggest risk here is if the game happens. The Nets played the 76ers last night, and Seth Curry tested positive for COVID after the game. Even though Curry didn’t play, he was on the bench next to players. This creates some risk that the Nets’ game could get canceled tonight, but we should know before lock if this game is on or not.
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Cole Anthony vs. Rockets: $5,000/$5,000
46.3% DraftKings Boom/55.8% FanDuel Boom
The Magic’s first-round pick is in line for a big role going forward. Markelle Fultz tore his ACL last game, opening up a void at point guard for Orlando. Anthony figures to move into the starting lineup, especially when considering that Michael Carter-Williams is out for at least two more games with an ankle injury. In addition, Evan Fournier remains listed questionable after missing the last couple of games. All this means is that we can comfortably expect Anthony to play over 30 minutes. As a player who is scoring about a fantasy point per minute, he is too cheap for his situation.
Jayson Tatum vs. Wizards: $9,400/$9,200
29% DraftKings Boom/35.1% FanDuel Boom
The Celtics are dealing with COVID issues. The team is extremely shorthanded after Robert Williams tested positive. Due to tracing protocols, Grant Williams and Tristan Thompson are also sitting out of tonight’s game and facing a quarantine. This opens up playing time in Boston’s frontcourt and likely means Boston will have to play smaller lineups. As a results, I expect Tatum to pick up a couple extra minutes. After Tatum played 37 minutes last game, I think we could see him approach 40 minutes in a favorable matchup against the Wizards. Washington has third-worst defensive efficiency in the NBA and ranks second in pace.
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
John Wall vs. Magic: $8,500/$8,000
59.6% DraftKings Bust/56.6% FanDuel Bust
On recent slates, I am finding it tough to roster the more expensive players on the Rockets. The problem is that there are so many high-usage players on this roster. Between Wall, James Harden, Christian Wood and DeMarcus Cousins, it’s going to make it tough for players like Wall and Harden to live up to salary expectations. It is either going to take a price drop on Wall or Harden for me to target either of these guys. This or somebody resting or getting hurt for Houston.
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