NBA Player Props: Fade Derrick White's Shooting (May 27)

The Boston Celtics, despite all odds, have kept the Eastern Conference Finals alive. They are one win away from taking this series back to Boston and re-emerging as the favorite to win the series. But with elimination on the line for Game 6, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Derrick White player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA and MLB Bet Pro pull lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a reduced-price first month for only $24.95!

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Saturday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Celtics-Heat Game 6

Derrick White Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers

Sure, Derrick White has been a valuable 3-point shooter all series. And sure, Malcolm Brogdon’s injury makes it likelier for White to contribute from beyond the arc. That doesn’t change the fact White is a low-usage role player who didn’t see much perimeter volume earlier in the season.

White should rack up only 1.9 3-pointers tonight, per Bet Pro, likely because the Celtics will trust their star players like Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum to bring this series back to Boston. Although this projection slots in below his series average (3.6), he just can’t keep shooting 58.1% from deep this series, right?

Bettors can find the best deal on the under at BetRivers, where it is priced at only -110 (51.9%). The under has an expected win rate of 56%, so we’re getting quite a solid amount of edge, at least relative to the market. If you haven’t signed up for BetRivers, you can get a second-chance bet worth up to $500!

Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Under 2.5 3-Pointers -110 at BetRivers

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Max Strus Prop O/U 10.5 Points

The Miami Heat have leaned on their role players all series. Caleb Martin has looked like a superstar, Gabe Vincent looked like Stephen Curry before getting hurt, and Haywood Highsmith came out of nowhere for a strong Game 5. But unlike those three, Max Strus has struggled.

Strus is averaging only 9.6 points per game this series. It’s mostly been a volume issue — Strus has taken just 7.8 field goals per game and with reasonable shooting splits of 44-33-83. He only played 24 minutes in Game 5 despite Vincent’s absence as well.

Let’s fade Strus in this spot, especially since Vincent might be available. Strus should score only 8.9 points, giving the under an expected win rate of 53%, which is better than the -105 (51.2%) we can buy at DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s take advantage of this bet at the best price on the market.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA and MLB player props, plenty of other lines are popping on Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get the first month for the reduced price of $24.95!

Best NBA Player Prop: Max Strus Under 10.5 Points -105 at DraftKings

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.