NBA Player Props: Last Gasp for Jimmy Butler (June 12)

The Denver Nuggets are a win away from clinching the NBA title this season. They’ll have a chance to do so at home in Game 5. With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers, especially the below Jimmy Butler player prop.

Enter Stokastic’s Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA and MLB Bet Pro pull lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a reduced-price first month for only $24.95!

Stokastic’s Bet Pro model is all over these NBA player props for Monday’s playoff action.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Prop | Heat-Nuggets Game 5

Jimmy Butler Prop O/U 1.5 Steals

The Miami Heat are down to their final out. One more loss and they’re headed home for good, ending their improbable NBA Finals run as the No. 8 seed from the play-in tournament. But if we’ve learned one thing this postseason, it’s that Jimmy Butler won’t go down without a fight.

Butler was averaging 2.1 steals per playoff game before this series began. He has since swiped only one ball, which came all the way back in Game 1. To his credit, the deflections have been there; it’s the loose ball recovery that’s set both Butler and Miami back.

However, Bet Pro projects Butler for 2.5 steals tonight. That gives the over an expected win rate of 47%, better than the +120 (45.5%) at BetMGM. If you haven’t signed up for BetMGM, you can get one free month of Stokastic+ Platinum and $1,000 in first-bet insurance!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 1.5 Steals +120 at BetMGM

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Kevin Love Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers

The Miami Heat will get Tyler Herro back tonight, and that will carry meaningful repercussions for the rest of their rotation. Players who offer little other than perimeter shooting, like Kevin Love, may see their usage or minutes curbed with Herro on the floor.

Love has made at least a pair of 3-pointers in 12 of his 19 playoff appearances this year. However, most of those games came with Herro off the floor. Love has fallen out of the rotation entirely at points this postseason, including Miami’s win-or-go-home Game 7 against the Boston Celtics.

If you want to exploit more mispriced NBA and MLB player props, plenty of other lines are popping on Bet Pro tonight. To view them, simply sign up for a subscription — new users can even get the first month for the reduced price of $24.95!

Best NBA Player Prop: Kevin Love Under 1.5 3-Pointers -125 at BetRivers

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.