College football Week 6 continues with a 12-game Saturday slate. CFB DFS differs from traditional NFL DFS in a few key areas. Rosters do not require a defense and instead incorporate a superflex where a second quarterback can be rostered. With the exception of short slates, using a second quarterback generally makes the most sense. From there, traditional stacking rules and other general football DFS strategies apply (such as looking at college football ownership projections). With that said, let’s get into the CFB Week 6 DFS picks and projections for Saturday, Oct. 7.
CFB Week 6 DFS Picks and Projections | Saturday, Oct. 7
Quarterback
Jayden Daniels ($9,000): The premier game on Saturday’s College Football slate, LSU enters Week 6 as a four point favorite over Missouri in a game with a 64 total. While expensive, Jayden Daniels has the top floor/ceiling projection of any quarterback. An elite rusher, Daniels already accounts for 292 cumulative rushing yards. On top of that, he averages a hyper-efficient 341.8 passing yards on 32.8 attempts per game. Even if Missouri reduces this efficiency, LSU passes 53.2% of the time.
Brady Cook ($7,400): On the other side of the LSU game, Missouri still has a 30-point implied team total as the underdog in the game. Brady Cook has taken major strides as a passer, averaging 293.4 yards per game on 28.2 attempts. LSU’s secondary ranks outside the top 100 in pass defense, providing an elite matchup for Cook. Cook hasn’t rushed as much this year, notching just 37 yards to date. However, the mobile signal caller rushed for 585 yards and six scores last year, giving him a solid rushing floor.
Jordan Travis ($8,700): Florida State draws Virginia Tech as a 24 point favorite in a game with a 52 total in Week 6. As massive favorites, Florida State’s 38-point team total gives them stacking appeal. A premier dual threat signal caller, Jordan Travis averages 257 passing yards per game on 30.3 attempts. Travis also provides strong dual threat ability with 94 cumulative yards to date. He makes sense as a pivot off Daniels/Cook in tournaments.
Jason Bean ($6,700): Kansas ruled out Jalon Daniels, setting up Jason Bean for another start here. Without Daniels, Kansas now sits as a two point underdog in a game with a 64.5 total. Bean lacks some of the throwing ability that Daniels provides, but he offers more rushing efficiency. Bean averages over 5.0 yards per carry through his career and UFC allows 4.4 yards per crack to opposing rushers.
John Rhys Plumlee ($7,700): On the other side of the Kansas game, UCF projects to return John Rhys Plumlee. Plumlee already has 163 rushing yards, despite playing in just two games. He also offers elite passing efficiency, with 287 yards per game. Kansas also allows 4.6 yards per carry, setting up Plumlee for a monster performance here.
Running Back
Will Shipley ($5,700): Clemson enters Week 6 as a 21 point favorite over Wake Forest in a game with a 51.5 total. Will Shipley currently averages 18.6 touches per game, but that number sharply increases in competitive games. Shipley has 23 and 20 touches over the last two games. While somewhat reliant on Wake Forest keeping this game competitive, Shipley could also hit value on efficiency.
Montrell Johnson ($5,800): Another potential blowout, Florida sits as an 18 point favorite over Vanderbilt in a game with a 52 total. Vanderbilt has struggled against opposing rushing attacks, setting up the Florida backs here. More important, Trevor Etienne enters the game with the questionable tag. Without Etienne, Montrell Johnson would emerge as the top price-adjusted back on slate. Even with Etienne playing, Johnson’s 14.0 touches per game, set him up as a strong price-adjusted play.
Jonathon Brooks ($6,700): Texas enters their rivalry against Oklahoma as a five point favorite in a game with a 60.5 total. Since taking over the lead back role, Jonathon Brooks has at least 19 touches in three straight games. Overall, he averages 118.6 rushing and 17.4 receiving yards per game.
Carson Steele ($5,600): With elite quarterbacks and receivers dominating the slate, paying down at running back makes sense. The UCLA backfield makes sense in a potential shootout with Washington State. While Carson Steele and T.J. Harden split this backfield 50/50, both should see double digit touches here.
LeQuint Allen ($5,800): Syracuse is a 9.5 point underdog to North Carolina in a game with a 59.5 total. This game has sneaky shootout appeal with Syracuse ranking 21st in pace and North Carolina coming in at 39th on the comeback. One of the true feature backs in College Football, LeQuint Allen averages 18.6 touches per game. Game script independent, Allen’s 70%+ route rate keeps him in play during all game environments.
Wide Receiver
Malik Nabers ($6,500): Both Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. come in as two of the top projected price-adjusted receivers on the slate. Both participate in almost every route and average over 100 receiving yards per game. At least one of these receivers should be in cash lineups. Nabers averages 10.6 targets per game and Thomas comes in at 8.0. Kyren Lacy also looks viable for GPP leverage.
Luther Burden III ($6,900): The premier stacking option with Cook, Luther Burden III averages 128.2 receiving yards and 10.6 targets per game behind a 38.1% target share. Behind him, both Theo Wease Jr. and Mookie Cooper remain viable for tournaments.
Johnny Wilson ($6,200): For those looking to complete a contrarian Florida State stack, Johnny Wilson or Keon Coleman offer a potential pivot off the LSU game. Both participate in almost every route. Wilson specifically leads the team with a 26.2% target share, averaging 75.8 yards per game.
Logan Loya ($4,600): One of the week’s sneaky shootouts, UCLA is a three point favorite over Washington State in a game with a 60.5 total. While Dante Moore‘s propensity to take sacks takes him out of play for DFS, UCLA’s 50.7% pass rate and 13th ranked pace keeps the skill position players live. Logan Loya specifically sits as UCLA’s WR2 with a 72.3% route rate. Coming off a nine target outing, Loya’s route rate has room for growth in a competitive game here.
Carlos Hernandez ($3,900): On the other side of the UCLA game, Washington State provides some elite value at the wide receiver position. With Lincoln Victor injured, Carlos Hernandez has been thrust into a full time role. Last game, Hernandez eclipsed 80% of the routes and drew eight targets from Ward.
Editor Note: Looking for more 2023 college football predictions or CFB Week 6 DFS picks? Experts are to break down this college football season — make sure to check out the rest of OddsShopper’s’ college football articles. If you still need more picks, our market-based betting model might just be for you — or try it out now!
