Wednesday’s MLB slate has an exciting lineup of 10 games scheduled for the evening. Today’s MLB player props are filled with fantastic opportunities, and to discover the finest ones for the games ahead, we rely on MLB Bet Pro once more. And just so you know, these are just three of the +EV bets on MLB Bet Pro right now; there are over 100 more in the model, and you can get access to them by subscribing today!
Top MLB Player Props & Picks From MLB Bet Pro | May 24
3. Paul DeJong Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425, DraftKings)
DeJong does not have the full-season sample size to contend for early-season MVP, but few hitters are hotter than he has been over the last month. He already has eight home runs despite playing just 25 games, and his 10.8 at-bats per home run would rank fourth in MLB if he qualified. Six of those home runs have come in the last two weeks as well.
The matchup today is with Ben Lively, a 31-year-old who had not pitched in the bigs in four years prior to this season. And early returns have had Lively limiting power, with just a 2.4% home run rate. That said, he has only pitched 11 innings since 2019, so it is safe to say his true effectiveness is still an unknown. DeJong is only 21% to hit a home run according to MLB Bet Pro, but at +425 against a journeyman (at best) pitcher, DeJong’s hot bat is worth some action.
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2. Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Hits (+165, BetRivers)
The stats for Rutschman against Nestor Cortes are quite favorable, as he is 5-for-9 in his career against Cortes. However, like most batter-versus-pitcher stats, that sample is too small to be remotely predictive, as is the fact that Rutschman has a hit in nearly every game against the Yankees in his short career (13-game sample).
Rutschman is seeing the ball well in the month of May, and Cortes is not meeting expectations on the mound this year, but Rutschman is considerably worse as a right-handed hitter (.212 average compared to .276 against righties), and Yankee Stadium pretty strongly favors left-handed power. So while MLB Bet Pro is slightly expecting Rutschman to get a hit today (57% chance of doing so), the under on 0.5 hits has good value with the plus money. Its sBet percentage (recommended bank roll allocation) is also high for a less-than-50% win expectancy, at 6.2%.
1. Jose Siri Over 0.5 Total Bases (-115, BetMGM)
Siri is only hitting .235 this season, but he does have hits in six of his last seven games and 10 of 16 in the month of May. He also will get at least one, likely two matchups with Yusei Kikuchi, who has given up nine hits in two of his last four starts and is surrendering a 47.5% hard-hit rate this season.
Siri typically hits ninth, so there is a chance for him to only end up with three plate appearances, but he only had three plate appearances in three of the last four games and still went over 0.5 total bases in all three. Plus, given the pitching matchup, there is a good chance for Tampa to do enough to get Siri a fourth trip to the plate. And when he has gotten four this season, he has recorded a hit 75% of the time. MLB Bet Pro gives Siri a 61% of getting at least one hit today, and that is leading to a huge 15% expected ROI on the over.
