NBA Player Props: Donte DiVincenzo Getting Tons of Minutes (February 23)

Today’s NBA player props slate are riskier, but that doesn’t mean profits are out of reach. Make sure you’re maximizing your profits by using NBA Bet Pro, which is designed to help you find the leverage points in the lines. And with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro, you can get an even better edge. Now let’s dive into the top 3 NBA player props on DraftKings for Thursday, Feb. 23.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 23

3. Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 Rebounds (+115)

DiVincenzo is getting a huge bump in minutes with Andrew Wiggins and Stephen Curry out. He is averaging about 25 a game, but tonight he projects for over 30 and 5.3 rebounds, also well above his season average of 4.1 a game. The Lakers are the second-fastest team in the league this season — though TBD on how letting go of Russell Westbrook affects that — so this game should be pretty up and down; five different Warriors project for at least four rebounds tonight. At a projection of 5.3, DiVincenzo goes over 4.5 rebounds just over half the time, giving the over a 10% ROI.

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2. Jonathan Kuminga Under 3.5 Rebounds (+120)

Despite the Warriors being shorthanded tonight, NBA Bet Pro does not expect Kuminga to pick up the slack left by Curry and Wiggins. He is only projecting for 17.8 minutes, and at his current rebounding rate, that would give him only 2.86 boards in this game. Instead, DiVincenzo is seeing a jump in projected playing time, as is Ty Jerome, and Kuminga simply is not productive enough in limited playing time to get to four rebounds. Stokastic gives the under a 51% win expectancy and a 13% EV.

1. Walker Kessler Over 2.5 Blocks (+145)

Going over on 2.5 blocks may be a little crazy, and this bet does have less than 50% expected win rate, but Kessler is one of the safer bets there is for a total this high. He has blocked at least three shots in five of his last nine games and is projecting for 3.2 tonight. Part of that is the matchup — Oklahoma City plays at the league’s third-fastest pace, and the game has a very high total (239 to 241, depending on sportsbook). But Kessler is also on pace to have one of the 20 best shot-blocking seasons by a rookie in NBA history. So despite the lofty line, NBA Bet Pro gives the over the highest EV and sEV on the board tonight.

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.