One major factor in winning a DraftKings Best Ball league is late-round efficiency. Anyone can make a solid pick in the top two rounds, but what about Round 5 and beyond? Here is a look at four wide receivers that should have a breakout year that often fall to the fifth round or later in DraftKings Best Ball drafts.
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Four Best Ball Breakout Receivers 2022
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions (DraftKings ADP: 56)
Amon-Ra St. Brown had a solid rookie season in 2021. Among rookie wide receivers, he finished top three in PPR points, receptions, targets, touchdowns, catch rate and yards per target. He was fourth in yardage, putting up over 900 yards. Overall, he was top 15 in receptions and catch rate. The majority of those stats he put up in the last six games, where he went off for 51 receptions, 560 yards and five touchdowns. That run equates to over 150 DraftKings points over six games.
The Lions have a top-three offensive line as ranked by Pro Football Focus. And the receiving corps around St. Brown has improved, pointing to a bigger focus on the passing game this season.
Vegas places the Detroit win total at 6.5. This will lead to positive game scripts in many of their games. If St. Brown and Jared Goff can keep up the chemistry that they flashed at the end of 2021, St. Brown has a shot to end the 2022 season as a top 15 fantasy wide receiver. He currently ranks as the WR30 in the Stokastic Best Ball Kit.
Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears (DraftKings ADP: 55)
Darnell Mooney was the clear No. 1 wide receiver in Chicago in 2021. He led the team in targets and receptions on his way to his first 1,000-yard season. And his target competition was dramatically depleted during the offseason, as Allen Robinson, Damiere Byrd and Marquise Goodwin all moved on. Fantasy points and share of team’s air yards correlate at 62%. In 2021 Mooney was eighth in this stat at 36.5%, and that number should only go up this season. With a catch rate of over 77%, Mooney has the chance to easily clear 1,000 yards again this season.
Mooney’s recommended draft position in the Stokastic Best Ball Kit is almost a full round higher than his current ADP. This is a chance to draft a clear WR1, on a team that will be playing from behind a ton this season, in the fifth round.
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Rondale Moore, Arizona Cardinals (DraftKings ADP: 113)
Few players can match the sneaky upside of Rondale Moore this season. Moore is currently recommended a full round ahead of his ADP in the Stokastic Best Ball Kit. Moore was second in rush attempts for wide receivers with 18, only behind Deebo Samuel. Considering the Arizona backfield, it’s fully possible that he will double his rush attempts number from last season.
Looking at his stats for his actual position, he tied DeAndre Hopkins with 64 targets on the season in 2021. Moore’s game with the most targets, 11, was Week 11 of 2021 when Hopkins was inactive. Hopkins will be out the first six games in 2022, leaving over six targets a game for Kyler Murray to spread around.
Coach Kliff Kingsbury has said that Moore is expected to take over Christian Kirk’s spot as the slot receiver, which is also good for Moore. Murray targeted slot receivers 28.2% of the time. Moore will have six games, without Hopkins, to secure his role as a top-three receiver for the Cardinals. If he can achieve this position, he’s a great draft pick in the ninth round.
Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders (DraftKings ADP: 138)
If first-round draft pick rookie Jahan Dotson can live up to expectations, expect his ADP to be cut in half come Best Ball season in 2023.
NFL Network analyst Daniel Jeremiah projects Dotson to put up over 1,000 yards this season on 75 catches. If he can do that, Dotson would be only the sixth rookie wide receiver to achieve that mark in the last five seasons. The Commanders have depth at wide receiver, and they need it based on offensive coordinator Scott Turner’s schemes. According to Sharp Football, Washington lined up with three or more wide receivers 75% of the time the last season. This will put Dotson on the field often, with his chance to earn targets. While he gets knocked for his size, Dotson makes up for it with pass-catching ability. His drop rate was 2.2% at Penn State in 2021.
Stay informed on all of the recommended draft positions with the Stokastic Best Ball Kit.
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