UFC Vegas 68 DFS Picks & Value Plays: Derrick Lewis-Sergey Spivak

The promotion is returning after a week off for UFC Vegas 68 live from Apex. The main event will feature heavyweight bout Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak. The co-main event will be a light heavyweight bout with Jung Da Un facing off against Devin Clark. Below are some UFC 283 DFS picks, including key Derrick Lewis-Sergey Spivak DFS plays, with the help of Stokastic’s projection tool.

Let’s see what’s on tap and find some of the best UFC Vegas 68 DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

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UFC Vegas 68 DFS Picks: Derrick Lewis-Sergey Spivak DFS Plays

Top-End Pick: Rinya Nakamura | DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $22

Rinya Nakamura has followed his amateur wrestling career up nicely by transitioning to MMA, since making his debut on the Japanese circuit in 2021. Nakamura has four wins via knockout and one via submission. He has the power striking to hurt Toshiomi Kazama on the feet and should be able to out work him on the mat. Expect an explosive match between two extremely well-rounded fighters making their UFC debuts, but Nakamura’s strength and power should find the early finish. The Top Fighters Tool give Nakamura 79.2 % win odds with a 55% chance for a knockout.

Top-End Pick: Yusaku Kinoshita | DraftKings: $9,100 , FanDuel: $20

Yusaku Kinoshita earned his UFC contract by finishing Jose Henrique Souza via knockout on the Contender Series in August. He has a 100% finish rate which includes four wins via knockout and two via submission. This will be a matchup of two southpaws facing off inside the octagon and both sides will be looking to make a statement with a finish. Expect Kinoshita’s power and hand speed to be more than Adam Fugitt can withstand and look for Kinoshita to eventually find the chin early second-round. According to Stokastic’s UFC Vegas 68 DFS projections, Yusaku Kinoshita has 74.6% win odds with a 45% chance for a knockout.

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Mid-Priced Pick: Dooho Choi | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $17

Dooho Choi was on his way to becoming a superstar with eight knockouts in a row and two Performance of the Night bonuses out of his three UFC fights. However, since then Choi has only fought three times due too various injuries and he lost all three fights. His last fight was in 2019 and the inactivity is a concern but expect Choi’s power and speed too put him back on track with an electrifying finish over Kyle Nelson. Stokastic’s projections give him 62.9% win odds with a 40.5% chance for a knockout.

Mid-Priced Pick: Junyong Park | DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $17

Junyong Park has won five of his last six, most recently submitting Joseph Holmes in October. He will be facing off against Denis Tiuliulin who has solid striking with power but has an extremely poor ground game that Park should be able to exploit and find an submission. Expect Park’s cardio, durability, takedown offense to overwhelm Tiuliulin and lead Park’s to a second round finish. Stokastic’s projections give him 66.4% win odds and a 37.7% chance of being the top-6 fighter.

Value Pick: Derrick Lewis |DraftKings: $7,400, FanDuel: $15

Derrick Lewis is back in the main event to face Sergey Spivak after falling ill hours before their originally scheduled date at UFC Vegas 65 in November. He will be stepping inside the octagon as the betting underdog with odds of +194. Lewis is coming off back-to-back knockout losses against Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich. There is risk rostering Lewis in your DFS lineups today due to how technical Pavlovich is on the mat and he could easily find a submission if he gets Lewis to the canvas. However, Lewis is always a threat with the huge power he possesses in his hands, especially his right that can put anyone’s lights out when landed clean. Expect fireworks in this one with both fighters swinging for the fence to end this one early. According to Stokastic’s projections, Lewis has 32.1% win odds with a 27.8% chance for a knockout.